Team FOG Naestved vs Copenhagen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin TFN by 8 Win TFN 66% Actual 154 · TFN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Team FOG Naestved vs Copenhagen
Last 8 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Team FOG Naestved 4, Copenhagen 0.
- Average total 194.5 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 4 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TFN by 6 Apr 17, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 17, 2026 Basketligaen Copenhagen 98–104 OT Team FOG Naestved 202 pts · OT
- Mar 26, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 100–98 Copenhagen 198 pts
- Feb 5, 2026 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 100–81 Copenhagen 181 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 Basketligaen Copenhagen 91–106 Team FOG Naestved 197 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Horsens 73, Team FOG Naestved 101. Won. Odds: Horsens 2.35, Team FOG Naestved 1.46.
- Sep 24: Team FOG Naestved 117, Holbaek-Stenhus 56. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved –, Holbaek-Stenhus 15.10.
- May 25: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Bakken Bears 98, Team FOG Naestved 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 18: Team FOG Naestved 81, Bakken Bears 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Gladsaxe 62, Copenhagen 77. Won. Odds: Gladsaxe 3.92, Copenhagen 1.18.
- Sep 22: Copenhagen 88, Vaerlose 74. Won. Odds: Copenhagen 1.12, Vaerlose 5.00.
- Apr 20: Randers 97, Copenhagen 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Copenhagen 98, Team FOG Naestved 104. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 9: Svendborg 73, Copenhagen 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Team FOG Naestved.
- Net rating difference of 38.2 — Team FOG Naestved +37.9 per 100 possessions, Copenhagen −0.3.
- 194.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 177.5.
- 1st vs 6th in the Basketligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TFN moneyline | 1.05 | moved up 1.06 |
| COP moneyline | 7.90 | moved down 6.38 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| TFN spread · regulation | −16.5 | moved down −19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Team FOG Naestved host Copenhagen in the Basketligaen on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.