Team FOG Naestved vs Bears Academy prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin TFN by 26 Win TFN 90% Actual 193 · TFN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Team FOG Naestved vs Bears Academy
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Team FOG Naestved at home, last 4 games · Bears Academy away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Team FOG Naestved 2, Bears Academy 0.
- Average total 193.0 points per meeting
- Over 177.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TFN by 24 Nov 3, 2025
Meetings
- Nov 3, 2025 Basketligaen Team FOG Naestved 108–84 Bears Academy 192 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 Basketligaen Bears Academy 78–116 Team FOG Naestved 194 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Gladsaxe 67, Team FOG Naestved 99. Won. Odds: Gladsaxe 10.50, Team FOG Naestved 1.01.
- Oct 19: Vejen 82, Team FOG Naestved 107. Won. Odds: Vejen 9.80, Team FOG Naestved 1.01.
- Oct 15: Team FOG Naestved 86, Svendborg 83. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.09, Svendborg 5.53.
- Oct 10: BMS Herlev 55, Team FOG Naestved 117. Won. Odds: BMS Herlev 15.10, Team FOG Naestved –.
- Sep 30: Team FOG Naestved 90, Copenhagen 64. Won. Odds: Team FOG Naestved 1.06, Copenhagen 6.38.
- Oct 23: Svendborg 97, Bears Academy 82. Lost. Odds: Svendborg 1.01, Bears Academy 10.50.
- Oct 17: Bears Academy 66, Copenhagen 78. Lost. Odds: Bears Academy 3.85, Copenhagen 1.11.
- Oct 10: Holbaek-Stenhus 88, Bears Academy 67. Lost. Odds: Holbaek-Stenhus 1.75, Bears Academy 1.70.
- Oct 3: Randers 117, Bears Academy 73. Lost. Odds: Randers 1.05, Bears Academy 7.85.
- Sep 27: Bears Academy 84, Bakken Bears 108. Lost. Odds: Bears Academy 15.10, Bakken Bears –.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Team FOG Naestved coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Bears Academy coming into this game.
- 1-4 away for Bears Academy this season.
- Net rating difference of 57.5 — Team FOG Naestved +37.9 per 100 possessions, Bears Academy −19.6.
- 1st vs 12th in the Basketligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TFN moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| BEA moneyline | 9.20 | moved up 11.00 |
| Total points | 177.5 | 177.5 |
| TFN spread | −32.5 | −32.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 830 | 562 | +268 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 533 | +206 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 701 | 635 | +66 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 729 | 660 | +69 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 762 | 686 | +76 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 573 | 571 | +2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 609 | 713 | −104 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 623 | 720 | −97 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 659 | 736 | −77 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 764 | −116 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 616 | 785 | −169 |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 619 | 743 | −124 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Team FOG Naestved host Bears Academy in the Basketligaen on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.