Tauranga Whai vs Mainland Pouakai prediction
Tauranga Whai
16
8
23
28
Mainland Pouakai
18
20
25
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tauranga Whai7583Mainland Pouakai9079Tauranga Whai7583Mainland Pouakai9079Total 162 Margin TAU by 4 Win TAU 59% Actual 165 · MAI won
Tauranga Whai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Mainland Pouakai
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tauranga Whai vs Mainland Pouakai
Tauranga Whai
Mainland Pouakai
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tauranga Whai 4, Mainland Pouakai 1.
- Average total 161.4 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAU by 4 Oct 9, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 9, 2026 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 78–82 Tauranga Whai 160 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 66–93 Mid-North Whai 159 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 63–68 Mainland Pouakai 131 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 93–102 Mid-North Whai 195 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Tauihi Women Mainland Pouakai 77–85 Mid-North Whai 162 pts
Last five games
Tauranga Whai
2-3 - Oct 24: Southern Hoiho 79, Tauranga Whai 65. Lost. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.40, Tauranga Whai 2.50.
- Oct 17: Northern Kahu 85, Tauranga Whai 84. Lost. Odds: Northern Kahu 2.33, Tauranga Whai 1.54.
- Oct 16: Tokomanawa Queens 79, Tauranga Whai 84. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.95, Tauranga Whai 1.75.
- Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
Mainland Pouakai
3-2 - Oct 23: Mainland Pouakai 93, Tokomanawa Queens 90. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.28, Tokomanawa Queens 2.90.
- Oct 17: Mainland Pouakai 75, Southern Hoiho 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.61, Southern Hoiho 2.17.
- Oct 10: Northern Kahu 87, Mainland Pouakai 94. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 2.80, Mainland Pouakai 1.38.
- Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 8.7 — Tauranga Whai +0.8 per 100 possessions, Mainland Pouakai +9.5.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tauranga Whai.
- 161.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 163.5.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the Tauihi Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAU moneyline | 2.25 | moved down 2.15 |
| MAI moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.53 |
| Total points | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| TAU spread | +3.5 | moved down +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 | Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tauranga Whai host Mainland Pouakai in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.