Taurage vs Nevezis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin TAU by 4 Win TAU 60% Actual 157 · TAU won
Taurage vs Nevezis
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Taurage at home, last 5 games · Nevezis away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Taurage 1, Nevezis 0.
- Average total 156.0 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 0 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAU by 4 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 LKL Taurage 80–76 Nevezis 156 pts
Last five games
- Oct 4: Juventus 93, Taurage 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.29, Taurage 2.97.
- Sep 26: Lietkabelis 85, Taurage 79. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.52, Taurage 2.25.
- Sep 19: Taurage 95, Jonava 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.44, Jonava 2.42.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
- Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
- May 17: Zalgiris Kaunas 98, Nevezis 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Nevezis 88, Rytas 117. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Nevezis coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Taurage dropped from 1.45 to 1.11 since they were first published.
- 2nd vs 3rd in the King Mindaugas Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAU moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.11 |
| NEV moneyline | 2.41 | moved up 5.25 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 163.5 |
| TAU spread | −6.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
King Mindaugas Cup standings
Regular Season
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Taurage host Nevezis in the King Mindaugas Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.