Taurage vs Gargzdai prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin GAR by 5 Win GAR 62% Actual 184 · GAR won
Taurage vs Gargzdai
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Taurage at home, last 5 games · Gargzdai away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Taurage 0, Gargzdai 1.
- Average total 159.0 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 0 of 1 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAR by 3 Oct 27, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 27, 2026 King Mindaugas Cup Gargzdai 81–78 Taurage 159 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Taurage 81, Nevezis 76. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.11, Nevezis 5.25.
- Oct 4: Juventus 93, Taurage 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.29, Taurage 2.97.
- Sep 26: Lietkabelis 85, Taurage 79. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.52, Taurage 2.25.
- Sep 19: Taurage 95, Jonava 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.44, Jonava 2.42.
- Oct 6: Gargzdai 79, Jurbarkas 75. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 1.06, Jurbarkas 6.55.
- Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Sep 20: Gargzdai 90, Siauliai 79. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.20, Siauliai 1.57.
- Sep 17: Gargzdai 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 98. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 10.00, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.02.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Gargzdai coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Taurage dropped from 2.17 to 1.52 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 168.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 11.5 — Taurage −6.2 per 100 possessions, Gargzdai +5.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAU moneyline | 2.17 | moved down 1.52 |
| GAR moneyline | 1.64 | moved up 2.24 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 170.5 |
| TAU spread | +1.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Taurage host Gargzdai in the LKL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
