Tasmania Jewels vs Sydney prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin TAS by 3 Win TAS 56% Actual 178 · TAS won
Tasmania Jewels vs Sydney
Last five games
- Oct 22: Southside 91, Tasmania Jewels 75. Lost. Odds: Southside 2.12, Tasmania Jewels 1.57.
- Oct 15: Tasmania Jewels 103, Geelong Venom 90. Won. Odds: Tasmania Jewels 1.86, Geelong Venom 1.81.
- Oct 25: Townsville 77, Sydney 90. Won. Odds: Townsville 1.29, Sydney 3.25.
- Oct 23: Sydney 82, Canberra Capitals 70. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.24, Canberra Capitals 3.20.
- Oct 17: Sydney 95, Adelaide Lightning 68. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.50, Adelaide Lightning 2.02.
- Oct 16: Southside 73, Sydney 77. Won. Odds: Southside 2.38, Sydney 1.45.
- Feb 7: Perth Lynx 108, Sydney 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Sydney coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sydney dropped from 1.43 to 1.16 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 166.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the NBL Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAS moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 3.90 |
| SYD moneyline | 1.43 | moved down 1.16 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| TAS spread | +5.5 | moved up +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 176 | 165 | +11 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 429 | 381 | +48 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 273 | 266 | +7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 241 | 242 | −1 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 337 | 312 | +25 | |
| 6 | Geelong Venom | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 309 | 319 | −10 |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 299 | 345 | −46 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 307 | 309 | −2 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 230 | 262 | −32 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tasmania Jewels host Sydney in the NBL Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.