Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney prediction
Tasmania JackJumpers
19
12
24
13
Sydney
19
18
13
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tasmania JackJumpers6896Sydney7195Tasmania JackJumpers6896Sydney7195Total 191 Margin TAS by 1 Win TAS 54% Actual 139 · SYD won
Tasmania JackJumpers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sydney
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tasmania JackJumpers vs Sydney
Tasmania JackJumpers
Sydney
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tasmania JackJumpers 3, Sydney 1.
- Average total 179.8 points per meeting
- Over 187.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SYD by 11 Jan 22, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 22, 2026 NBL Sydney 105–94 Tasmania JackJumpers 199 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 104–81 Sydney 185 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 NBL Sydney 89–90 Tasmania JackJumpers 179 pts
- Oct 15, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 86–70 Sydney 156 pts
Last five games
Tasmania JackJumpers
4-1 - Oct 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 106, Brisbane Bullets 85. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.20, Brisbane Bullets 3.80.
- Oct 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 98, New Zealand Breakers 92. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.32, New Zealand Breakers 2.47.
- Oct 16: Tasmania JackJumpers 88, Adelaide 94. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.49, Adelaide 2.50.
- Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
Sydney
3-2 - Oct 28: Perth 91, Sydney 99. Won. Odds: Perth 2.12, Sydney 1.62.
- Oct 25: Melbourne United 105, Sydney 95. Lost. Odds: Melbourne United 2.12, Sydney 1.62.
- Oct 22: Illawarra Hawks 82, Sydney 108. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 3.10, Sydney 1.30.
- Oct 17: Sydney 102, Perth 81. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.20, Perth 3.05.
- Oct 14: Sydney 101, New Zealand Breakers 102. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.11, New Zealand Breakers 3.90.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 189.5 to 187.5 since it was first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- −7.7 points away — Sydney averaged 101.0 at home and 93.3 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- 179.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 187.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAS moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.88 |
| SYD moneyline | 1.67 | moved up 1.80 |
| Total points | 189.5 | moved down 187.5 |
| TAS spread | +2.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tasmania JackJumpers host Sydney in the NBL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.