Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Prediction & Odds — Sep 21

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NBL Monday, September 21, 2026Mon, Sep 21 Start05:30ET Round 1

Tasmania JackJumpersHome · 7-3 · 2nd · 2.55

9615233622

South East MelbourneAway · 4-6 · 8th · 1.47

9124282217

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Tasmania JackJumpers 15 23 36 22

South East Melbourne 24 28 22 17

FT MyState Bank Arena · AustraliaMyState Bank Arena · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

2 1.48 87%

South East Melbourne to win edge +16.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 2 1.48 South East Melbourne to win Confidence87% model 72.3% · market 55.9% edge +16.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.48 72.3% 55.9% +16.4% 87% Lost

Total points O179.5 1.43 62.3% 60.9% +1.4% 74% Won

Point spread SEM -2.5 1.85 66.5% 50.0% +16.5% 77% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tasmania JackJumpers9689

South East Melbourne9197

Total 186 actual 187

Winning margin SEM by 8 actual TAS by 5

Chance to win SEM 72% TAS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tasmania JackJumpers9689

South East Melbourne9197

Total 186 Margin SEM by 8 Win SEM 72% Actual 187 · TAS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Tasmania JackJumpers large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction South East Melbourne

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne

Tasmania JackJumpers South East Melbourne

Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Tasmania JackJumpers 2-3

Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 70, Illawarra Hawks 103. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 14: South East Melbourne 120, Tasmania JackJumpers 104. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 6: Tasmania JackJumpers 114, Brisbane Bullets 70. Won. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Tasmania JackJumpers 91, New Zealand Breakers 89. Won. No odds on record.

South East Melbourne 3-2

Sep 19: Perth 79, South East Melbourne 100. Won. Odds: Perth 1.67, South East Melbourne 2.15.
Mar 17: Adelaide 108, South East Melbourne 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 14: South East Melbourne 101, Adelaide 92. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 10: Adelaide 104, South East Melbourne 97. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 4: South East Melbourne 111, Perth 94. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TAS moneyline	2.10	moved up 2.55
SEM moneyline	1.66	moved down 1.47
Total points	184.5	moved up 188.5
TAS spread · regulation	+2.5	moved up +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sydney	10	7	3	.700	979	881	+98
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	.700	956	908	+48
3	Perth	9	5	4	.556	839	870	−31
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	.545	1014	1062	−48
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	.500	967	925	+42
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	.500	938	967	−29
7	Adelaide	11	5	6	.455	1001	1031	−30
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	.400	969	943	+26
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	.400	922	906	+16
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	.273	1057	1149	−92

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Tasmania JackJumpers host South East Melbourne in the NBL on Monday, September 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.