Tasmania JackJumpers vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction & Odds — Oct 18

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NBL Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start00:00ET Round 5

Tasmania JackJumpersHome · 7-3 · 2nd · 1.32

9831221728

New Zealand BreakersAway · 4-6 · 9th · 2.47

9232191427

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Tasmania JackJumpers 31 22 17 28

New Zealand Breakers 32 19 14 27

FT MyState Bank Arena · AustraliaMyState Bank Arena · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

NZB +12.5 1.32 85%

New Zealand Breakers +12.5 on the spread edge +8.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won NZB +12.5 1.32 New Zealand Breakers +12.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 79.4% · market 71.3% edge +8.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.32 50.2% 63.4% −13.2% 51% Won

Total points O173.5 1.38 72.0% 70.3% +1.7% 85% Won

Point spread NZB +12.5 1.32 79.4% 71.3% +8.1% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tasmania JackJumpers9893

New Zealand Breakers9292

Total 185 actual 190

Winning margin TAS by 1 actual TAS by 6

Chance to win TAS 50% TAS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Tasmania JackJumpers9893

New Zealand Breakers9292

Total 185 Margin TAS by 1 Win TAS 50% Actual 190 · TAS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Tasmania JackJumpers large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction New Zealand Breakers

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Tasmania JackJumpers vs New Zealand Breakers

Tasmania JackJumpers New Zealand Breakers

Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Tasmania JackJumpers 3-2

Oct 16: Tasmania JackJumpers 88, Adelaide 94. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.49, Adelaide 2.50.
Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.

New Zealand Breakers 3-2

Oct 14: Sydney 101, New Zealand Breakers 102. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.11, New Zealand Breakers 3.90.
Oct 10: Perth 100, New Zealand Breakers 84. Lost. Odds: Perth 1.34, New Zealand Breakers 3.12.
Oct 4: Adelaide 69, New Zealand Breakers 88. Won. Odds: Adelaide 1.51, New Zealand Breakers 2.64.
Sep 30: New Zealand Breakers 98, Cairns Taipans 75. Won. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.51, Cairns Taipans 2.48.
Sep 26: Perth 97, New Zealand Breakers 93. Lost. Odds: Perth 1.47, New Zealand Breakers 2.60.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
TAS moneyline	1.47	moved down 1.32
NZB moneyline	2.55	moved down 2.47
Total points	183.5	moved down 181.5
TAS spread	−4.5	moved down −5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sydney	10	7	3	.700	979	881	+98
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	.700	956	908	+48
3	Perth	9	5	4	.556	839	870	−31
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	.545	1014	1062	−48
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	.500	967	925	+42
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	.500	938	967	−29
7	Adelaide	11	5	6	.455	1001	1031	−30
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	.400	969	943	+26
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	.400	922	906	+16
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	.273	1057	1149	−92

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Tasmania JackJumpers host New Zealand Breakers in the NBL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.