Tasmania JackJumpers vs Melbourne United prediction
Tasmania JackJumpers
23
29
16
16
Melbourne United
14
21
19
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tasmania JackJumpers8488Melbourne United8282Tasmania JackJumpers8488Melbourne United8282Total 170 Margin TAS by 6 Win TAS 66% Actual 166 · TAS won
Tasmania JackJumpers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Melbourne United
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Melbourne United
Tasmania JackJumpers
Melbourne United
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Tasmania JackJumpers at home, last 6 games · Melbourne United away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tasmania JackJumpers 2, Melbourne United 3.
- Average total 160.4 points per meeting
- Over 179.5 0 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MEL by 14 Mar 5, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 5, 2026 NBL Melbourne United 82–68 Tasmania JackJumpers 150 pts
- Jan 17, 2026 NBL Melbourne United 79–77 Tasmania JackJumpers 156 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 84–75 Melbourne United 159 pts
- Dec 23, 2025 NBL Melbourne United 73–92 Tasmania JackJumpers 165 pts
- Sep 18, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 84–88 Melbourne United 172 pts
Last five games
Tasmania JackJumpers
1-4 - Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 70, Illawarra Hawks 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: South East Melbourne 120, Tasmania JackJumpers 104. Lost. No odds on record.
Melbourne United
3-2 - Sep 24: South East Melbourne 61, Melbourne United 86. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.10, Melbourne United 1.70.
- Sep 19: Melbourne United 95, Adelaide 97. Lost. Odds: Melbourne United 1.43, Adelaide 2.76.
- Mar 7: Perth 95, Melbourne United 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 5: Melbourne United 82, Tasmania JackJumpers 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 19: Melbourne United 95, South East Melbourne 91. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Melbourne United dropped from 1.53 to 1.36 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Melbourne United.
- 1-4 in the last five for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- 160.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 179.5.
- 2nd vs 5th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAS moneyline | 2.44 | moved up 3.00 |
| MEL moneyline | 1.53 | moved down 1.36 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved down 179.5 |
| TAS spread · regulation | +4.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 | Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tasmania JackJumpers host Melbourne United in the NBL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.