Tasmania JackJumpers vs Brisbane Bullets prediction
Tasmania JackJumpers
22
34
28
22
Brisbane Bullets
15
29
20
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tasmania JackJumpers10699Brisbane Bullets8592Tasmania JackJumpers10699Brisbane Bullets8592Total 191 Margin TAS by 7 Win TAS 70% Actual 191 · TAS won
Tasmania JackJumpers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brisbane Bullets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Tasmania JackJumpers vs Brisbane Bullets
Tasmania JackJumpers
Brisbane Bullets
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Tasmania JackJumpers at home, last 6 games · Brisbane Bullets away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tasmania JackJumpers 3, Brisbane Bullets 1.
- Average total 180.5 points per meeting
- Over 187.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAS by 10 Oct 3, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 3, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 99–109 OT Tasmania JackJumpers 208 pts · OT
- Feb 6, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 114–70 Brisbane Bullets 184 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 81–83 Brisbane Bullets 164 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 82–84 Tasmania JackJumpers 166 pts
Last five games
Tasmania JackJumpers
4-1 - Oct 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 98, New Zealand Breakers 92. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.32, New Zealand Breakers 2.47.
- Oct 16: Tasmania JackJumpers 88, Adelaide 94. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.49, Adelaide 2.50.
- Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
Brisbane Bullets
2-3 - Oct 15: Brisbane Bullets 115, South East Melbourne 105. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 2.50, South East Melbourne 1.31.
- Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
- Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Brisbane Bullets, 2 for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- Over/under moved up from 185.5 to 187.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.9 — Tasmania JackJumpers +6.4 per 100 possessions, Brisbane Bullets −3.5.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- −10.0 points away — Brisbane Bullets averaged 98.0 at home and 88.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAS moneyline | 1.26 | moved down 1.20 |
| BRI moneyline | 3.40 | moved up 3.80 |
| Total points | 185.5 | moved up 187.5 |
| TAS spread | −8.5 | −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tasmania JackJumpers host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.