Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide prediction
Tasmania JackJumpers
22
17
23
26
Adelaide
14
26
31
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tasmania JackJumpers8896Adelaide9488Tasmania JackJumpers8896Adelaide9488Total 184 Margin TAS by 8 Win TAS 69% Actual 182 · ADE won
Tasmania JackJumpers
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Adelaide
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide
Tasmania JackJumpers
Adelaide
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Tasmania JackJumpers at home, last 6 games · Adelaide away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tasmania JackJumpers 1, Adelaide 2.
- Average total 174.0 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAS by 8 Jan 9, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 9, 2026 NBL Adelaide 72–80 Tasmania JackJumpers 152 pts
- Nov 13, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 86–97 Adelaide 183 pts
- Oct 9, 2025 NBL Adelaide 98–89 Tasmania JackJumpers 187 pts
Last five games
Tasmania JackJumpers
4-1 - Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
- Oct 3: Brisbane Bullets 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 109. After overtime. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.71, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.09.
- Oct 1: Tasmania JackJumpers 84, Melbourne United 82. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 3.00, Melbourne United 1.36.
- Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 96, South East Melbourne 91. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 2.55, South East Melbourne 1.47.
Adelaide
2-3 - Oct 11: Sydney 78, Adelaide 84. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Adelaide 3.85.
- Oct 7: Adelaide 91, Melbourne United 96. Lost. Odds: Adelaide 2.40, Melbourne United 1.54.
- Oct 4: Adelaide 69, New Zealand Breakers 88. Lost. Odds: Adelaide 1.51, New Zealand Breakers 2.64.
- Oct 2: Illawarra Hawks 114, Adelaide 92. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 2.85, Adelaide 1.40.
- Sep 27: Adelaide 83, Cairns Taipans 69. Won. Odds: Adelaide 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.55.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Tasmania JackJumpers coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Tasmania JackJumpers, 4 for Adelaide.
- Net rating difference of 9.4 — Tasmania JackJumpers +6.4 per 100 possessions, Adelaide −3.0.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Adelaide.
- 174.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 182.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAS moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.49 |
| ADE moneyline | 2.37 | moved up 2.50 |
| Total points | 183.5 | moved down 182.5 |
| TAS spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 | Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 | Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tasmania JackJumpers host Adelaide in the NBL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.