Tapiolan Honka vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 152 Margin HMH by 12 Win HMH 76% Actual 165 · HMH won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Tapiolan Honka vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tapiolan Honka 0, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 3.
- Average total 155.0 points per meeting
- Over 154.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HMH by 8 Mar 11, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 11, 2026 Korisliiga Women HBA-Marsky Helsinki 83–75 Tapiolan Honka 158 pts
- Jan 18, 2026 Korisliiga Women Tapiolan Honka 63–97 HBA-Marsky Helsinki 160 pts
- Oct 1, 2025 Korisliiga Women Tapiolan Honka 59–88 HBA-Marsky Helsinki 147 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Espoo Team 110, Tapiolan Honka 64. Lost. Odds: Espoo Team 1.06, Tapiolan Honka 5.80.
- Oct 17: Tapiolan Honka 75, PeKa 83. Lost. Odds: Tapiolan Honka 5.55, PeKa 1.11.
- Oct 10: Vimpelin Veto 70, Tapiolan Honka 71. Won. Odds: Vimpelin Veto 1.35, Tapiolan Honka 2.87.
- Oct 7: Tapiolan Honka 55, Kouvottaret 72. Lost. Odds: Tapiolan Honka 2.54, Kouvottaret 1.44.
- Oct 4: Pyrinto 80, Tapiolan Honka 74. Lost. Odds: Pyrinto 1.72, Tapiolan Honka 1.95.
- Oct 28: AEL Limassol 88, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 79. Lost. Odds: AEL Limassol 1.13, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 5.49.
- Oct 25: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 69, Torpan Pojat Helsinki 83. Lost. Odds: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 1.26, Torpan Pojat Helsinki 3.05.
- Oct 22: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 59, Zabiny Brno 95. Lost. Odds: HBA-Marsky Helsinki 8.00, Zabiny Brno 1.01.
- Oct 18: BC Nokia 56, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 95. Won. Odds: BC Nokia 5.90, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 1.06.
- Oct 14: Charnay Bourgogne Sud 91, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 54. Lost. Odds: Charnay Bourgogne Sud –, HBA-Marsky Helsinki 20.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for HBA-Marsky Helsinki coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Tapiolan Honka, 3 for HBA-Marsky Helsinki.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for HBA-Marsky Helsinki.
- Over/under moved up from 149.5 to 154.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.5 — Tapiolan Honka −19.2 per 100 possessions, HBA-Marsky Helsinki −5.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAP moneyline | 8.50 | moved down 8.00 |
| HMH moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.01 |
| Total points | 149.5 | moved up 154.5 |
| TAP spread | +14.5 | moved up +19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Korisliiga Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 395 | 355 | +40 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 544 | 403 | +141 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 436 | 339 | +97 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 415 | 382 | +33 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 436 | 474 | −38 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 357 | −14 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 362 | 442 | −80 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 411 | 508 | −97 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 353 | 435 | −82 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - I Divisioona Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tapiolan Honka host HBA-Marsky Helsinki in the Korisliiga Women on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.