Tajfun Sentjur vs Rogaska prediction

All predictions
2 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 154 Margin TAJ by 4 Win TAJ 60% Actual 147 · ROG won
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tajfun Sentjur vs Rogaska
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tajfun Sentjur 1, Rogaska 2.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 3 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting ROG by 5 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Tajfun Sentjur 82–87 Rogaska 169 pts
- Dec 8, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 72–97 Tajfun Sentjur 169 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Tajfun Sentjur 84–88 Rogaska 172 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Perspektiva Ilirija 78, Tajfun Sentjur 62. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.03, Tajfun Sentjur 5.40.
- Oct 17: Tajfun Sentjur 67, Polzela 84. Lost. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.47, Polzela 1.32.
- Oct 11: Zlatorog Lasko 86, Tajfun Sentjur 73. Lost. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 1.42, Tajfun Sentjur 2.67.
- Oct 6: Vrani Vransko 71, Tajfun Sentjur 116. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Tajfun Sentjur 74, Sencur 99. Lost. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.92, Sencur 1.36.
- Oct 20: Rogaska 62, KK Krka Novo mesto 97. Lost. Odds: Rogaska 5.00, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.04.
- Oct 16: KK Triglav Kranj 72, Rogaska 74. Won. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 1.15, Rogaska 3.45.
- Oct 10: Rogaska 67, Gorica 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Celje 59, Rogaska 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Lost. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Tajfun Sentjur coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Tajfun Sentjur dropped from 2.08 to 1.80 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 8.3 — Tajfun Sentjur −28.2 per 100 possessions, Rogaska −19.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Rogaska.
- 170.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAJ moneyline | 2.08 | moved down 1.80 |
| ROG moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.87 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tajfun Sentjur host Rogaska in the Slovenian Cup on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
