Sydney vs Perth Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 60.6% 59.1% +1.5% 71% Won

Total points U196.5 1.42 67.5% 69.5% −2.0% 84% Won

Point spread SYD +4.5 1.31 71.4% 69.4% +2.0% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sydney10296

Perth8191

Total 187 actual 183

Winning margin SYD by 5 actual SYD by 21

Chance to win SYD 61% SYD won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sydney10296

Perth8191

Total 187 Margin SYD by 5 Win SYD 61% Actual 183 · SYD won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Sydney large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Perth

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Sydney vs Perth

Sydney Perth

Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 187.2 points per meeting
Over 188.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting SYD by 8 Oct 28, 2026

Meetings

Oct 28, 2026 NBL Perth 9199 Sydney 190 pts
Mar 14, 2026 NBL Perth 7589 Sydney 164 pts
Mar 11, 2026 NBL Sydney 105104 Perth 209 pts
Feb 15, 2026 NBL Sydney 10284 Perth 186 pts
Dec 12, 2025 NBL Perth 79108 Sydney 187 pts

Last five games

Sydney 3-2

Oct 14: Sydney 101, New Zealand Breakers 102. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.11, New Zealand Breakers 3.90.
Oct 11: Sydney 78, Adelaide 84. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Adelaide 3.85.
Sep 30: Sydney 93, Brisbane Bullets 78. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.36, Brisbane Bullets 3.03.
Sep 27: Sydney 121, Illawarra Hawks 100. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Illawarra Hawks 3.91.
Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.

Perth 4-1

Oct 10: Perth 100, New Zealand Breakers 84. Won. Odds: Perth 1.34, New Zealand Breakers 3.12.
Oct 2: Perth 92, South East Melbourne 88. Won. Odds: Perth 2.58, South East Melbourne 1.48.
Sep 26: Perth 97, New Zealand Breakers 93. Won. Odds: Perth 1.47, New Zealand Breakers 2.60.
Sep 24: Perth 98, Adelaide 97. Won. Odds: Perth 2.03, Adelaide 1.76.
Sep 19: Perth 79, South East Melbourne 100. Lost. Odds: Perth 1.67, South East Melbourne 2.15.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Perth coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Sydney dropped from 1.57 to 1.20 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Perth, 2 for Sydney.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Sydney.
Over/under moved up from 186.5 to 188.5 since it was first published.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SYD moneyline	1.57	moved down 1.20
PER moneyline	2.30	moved up 3.05
Total points	186.5	moved up 188.5
SYD spread	−3.5	moved down −9.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Sydney	10	7	3	.700	979	881	+98
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	.700	956	908	+48
3	Perth	9	5	4	.556	839	870	−31
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	.545	1014	1062	−48
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	.500	967	925	+42
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	.500	938	967	−29
7	Adelaide	11	5	6	.455	1001	1031	−30
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	.400	969	943	+26
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	.400	922	906	+16
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	.273	1057	1149	−92

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Sydney vs Perth prediction