Sydney vs Canberra Capitals Prediction & Odds — Oct 23

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NBL Women Friday, October 23, 2026Fri, Oct 23 Start04:00ET Round 2

SydneyHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.24

8223211919

Canberra CapitalsAway · 2-1 · 4th · 3.20

7019171717

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Sydney 23 21 19 19

Canberra Capitals 19 17 17 17

FT Quaycentre · AustraliaQuaycentre · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.24 57%

Sydney to win edge −10.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.24 Sydney to win Confidence57% model 56.4% · market 66.7% edge −10.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.24 56.4% 66.7% −10.3% 57% Won

Total points U168.5 1.38 74.8% 65.8% +9.0% 75% Won

Point spread CAN +13.5 1.29 64.1% 70.9% −6.8% 64% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sydney8279

Canberra Capitals7077

Total 156 actual 152

Winning margin SYD by 2 actual SYD by 12

Chance to win SYD 56% SYD won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sydney8279

Canberra Capitals7077

Total 156 Margin SYD by 2 Win SYD 56% Actual 152 · SYD won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Sydney large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Canberra Capitals

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Sydney vs Canberra Capitals

Sydney Canberra Capitals

Last 25 and 23 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Sydney 2-3

Oct 17: Sydney 95, Adelaide Lightning 68. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.50, Adelaide Lightning 2.02.
Oct 16: Southside 73, Sydney 77. Won. Odds: Southside 2.38, Sydney 1.45.
Feb 7: Perth Lynx 108, Sydney 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Sydney 76, Geelong Venom 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 24: Sydney 57, Perth Lynx 76. Lost. No odds on record.

Canberra Capitals 2-3

Oct 17: Canberra Capitals 94, Bendigo 92. Won. Odds: Canberra Capitals 2.20, Bendigo 1.42.
Feb 6: Canberra Capitals 76, Geelong Venom 67. Won. No odds on record.
Feb 3: Canberra Capitals 75, Southside 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Townsville 78, Canberra Capitals 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 25: Canberra Capitals 73, Bendigo 77. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SYD moneyline	1.33	moved down 1.24
CAN moneyline	2.90	moved up 3.20
Total points	161.5	moved up 162.5
SYD spread	−6.5	moved down −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Perth Lynx	2	2	0	1.000	176	165	+11
2	Sydney	5	4	1	.800	429	381	+48
3	Tasmania Jewels	3	2	1	.667	273	266	+7
4	Canberra Capitals	3	2	1	.667	241	242	−1
5	Townsville	4	2	2	.500	337	312	+25
6	Geelong Venom	4	2	2	.500	309	319	−10
7	Adelaide Lightning	4	1	3	.250	299	345	−46
8	Southside	4	1	3	.250	307	309	−2
9	Bendigo	3	0	3	.000	230	262	−32

Playoffs: Semi-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Sydney host Canberra Capitals in the NBL Women on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.