Sydney vs Cairns Taipans prediction
Sydney
32
27
31
21
Cairns Taipans
26
27
20
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sydney111107Cairns Taipans9084Sydney111107Cairns Taipans9084Total 191 Margin SYD by 23 Win SYD 94% Actual 201 · SYD won
Sydney
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Cairns Taipans
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sydney vs Cairns Taipans
Sydney
Cairns Taipans
Last 9 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Sydney at home, last 6 games · Cairns Taipans away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sydney 2, Cairns Taipans 1.
- Average total 181.7 points per meeting
- Over 185.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SYD by 14 Feb 1, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 1, 2026 NBL Cairns Taipans 92–106 Sydney 198 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 NBL Sydney 119–77 Cairns Taipans 196 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 NBL Sydney 74–77 Cairns Taipans 151 pts
Last five games
Sydney
3-2 - Apr 5: Sydney 113, Adelaide 101. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Adelaide 92, Sydney 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Sydney 106, Adelaide 93. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Adelaide 91, Sydney 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Sydney 112, Adelaide 68. Won. No odds on record.
Cairns Taipans
1-4 - Feb 19: New Zealand Breakers 115, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 12: Cairns Taipans 85, Melbourne United 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Brisbane Bullets 72, Cairns Taipans 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 6: Perth 98, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 1: Cairns Taipans 92, Sydney 106. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 180.5 to 185.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.5 — Sydney +12.2 per 100 possessions, Cairns Taipans −5.3.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Sydney.
- +7.7 points at home — Sydney averaged 101.0 at home and 93.3 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Cairns Taipans.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SYD moneyline | 1.29 | moved down 1.27 |
| CAI moneyline | 3.45 | moved up 3.60 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved up 185.5 |
| SYD spread · regulation | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sydney host Cairns Taipans in the NBL on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.