Sydney vs Brisbane Bullets prediction
Sydney
23
20
29
21
Brisbane Bullets
34
10
14
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sydney93104Brisbane Bullets7887Sydney93104Brisbane Bullets7887Total 191 Margin SYD by 17 Win SYD 88% Actual 171 · SYD won
Sydney
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brisbane Bullets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sydney vs Brisbane Bullets
Sydney
Brisbane Bullets
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Sydney at home, last 6 games · Brisbane Bullets away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sydney 4, Brisbane Bullets 0.
- Average total 182.3 points per meeting
- Over 195.5 0 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SYD by 40 Feb 20, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 20, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 77–117 Sydney 194 pts
- Jan 15, 2026 NBL Sydney 95–80 Brisbane Bullets 175 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 NBL Sydney 95–70 Brisbane Bullets 165 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 NBL Brisbane Bullets 79–116 Sydney 195 pts
Last five games
Sydney
4-1 - Sep 27: Sydney 121, Illawarra Hawks 100. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Illawarra Hawks 3.91.
- Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.
- Apr 5: Sydney 113, Adelaide 101. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Adelaide 92, Sydney 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Sydney 106, Adelaide 93. Won. No odds on record.
Brisbane Bullets
2-3 - Sep 25: Brisbane Bullets 103, Illawarra Hawks 95. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.90, Illawarra Hawks 1.85.
- Sep 22: Brisbane Bullets 88, New Zealand Breakers 85. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.81.
- Feb 20: Brisbane Bullets 77, Sydney 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 13: Perth 94, Brisbane Bullets 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Brisbane Bullets 72, Cairns Taipans 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Sydney coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Brisbane Bullets, 2 for Sydney.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Sydney.
- Over/under moved up from 193.5 to 195.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.7 — Sydney +12.2 per 100 possessions, Brisbane Bullets −3.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SYD moneyline | 1.37 | moved down 1.36 |
| BRI moneyline | 2.97 | moved up 3.03 |
| Total points | 193.5 | moved up 195.5 |
| SYD spread · regulation | −6.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 |  Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sydney host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.