Surrey 89ers vs Leicester Riders prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin SUR by 2 Win SUR 55% Actual 209 · SUR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Surrey 89ers vs Leicester Riders
Last 5 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Surrey 89ers 2, Leicester Riders 2.
- Average total 170.8 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SUR by 13 Apr 10, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 10, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 90–103 Surrey 89ers 193 pts
- Mar 7, 2026 SLB Surrey 89ers 80–83 Leicester Riders 163 pts
- Jan 30, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 80–89 Surrey 89ers 169 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 SLB Surrey 89ers 78–80 Leicester Riders 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Surrey 89ers 74, Liverpool 85. Lost. Odds: Surrey 89ers 1.17, Liverpool 3.30.
- Sep 27: Manchester Basketball 79, Surrey 89ers 67. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.29, Surrey 89ers 3.35.
- May 3: Cheshire Phoenix 100, Surrey 89ers 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Surrey 89ers 96, Cheshire Phoenix 128. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Surrey 89ers 62, London Lions 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Sheffield Sharks 85, Leicester Riders 75. Lost. Odds: Sheffield Sharks 1.23, Leicester Riders 3.90.
- Oct 9: Leicester Riders 73, Bristol Flyers 78. Lost. Odds: Leicester Riders 1.70, Bristol Flyers 2.02.
- Oct 2: London Lions 71, Leicester Riders 66. Lost. Odds: London Lions 1.07, Leicester Riders 6.25.
- Sep 27: Cheshire Phoenix 108, Leicester Riders 94. Lost. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.48, Leicester Riders 2.52.
- May 10: London Lions 78, Leicester Riders 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Leicester Riders coming into this game.
- 5-game losing streak for Surrey 89ers coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Leicester Riders dropped from 2.44 to 1.95 since they were first published.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 170.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SUR moneyline | 1.45 | moved up 1.55 |
| LEI moneyline | 2.44 | moved down 1.95 |
| Total points | 165.5 | 165.5 |
| SUR spread | −3.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Surrey 89ers host Leicester Riders in the SLB on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.