Stjarnan vs IR Reykjavik prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 197 Margin STJ by 9 Win STJ 73% Actual 198 · STJ won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Stjarnan vs IR Reykjavik
Last 29 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Stjarnan at home, last 15 games · IR Reykjavik away, last 14
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Stjarnan 1, IR Reykjavik 1.
- Average total 205.5 points per meeting
- Over 195.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting STJ by 9 Jan 22, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 22, 2026 Premier league IR Reykjavik 109–118 Stjarnan 227 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 Premier league Stjarnan 91–93 IR Reykjavik 184 pts
Last five games
- Oct 22: Grindavik 98, Stjarnan 92. Lost. Odds: Grindavik 1.98, Stjarnan 1.72.
- Oct 16: Stjarnan 98, Hottur 103. Lost. Odds: Stjarnan 1.20, Hottur 4.00.
- Oct 8: Valur 90, Stjarnan 77. Lost. Odds: Valur 2.25, Stjarnan 1.57.
- May 6: Tindastoll 100, Stjarnan 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Stjarnan 97, Tindastoll 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 22: Hottur 108, IR Reykjavik 96. Lost. Odds: Hottur 1.42, IR Reykjavik 2.45.
- Oct 15: IR Reykjavik 88, Alftanes 119. Lost. Odds: IR Reykjavik 5.00, Alftanes 1.14.
- Oct 8: Sindri 91, IR Reykjavik 97. Won. Odds: Sindri 1.53, IR Reykjavik 2.32.
- Apr 11: Tindastoll 125, IR Reykjavik 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: IR Reykjavik 90, Tindastoll 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Stjarnan coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 8.4 — Stjarnan +4.0 per 100 possessions, IR Reykjavik −4.4.
- 1-4 in the last five for IR Reykjavik.
- 8th vs 9th in the Premier league standings.
- Different pace — Stjarnan averaged 89.5 possessions per game, IR Reykjavik 82.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| STJ moneyline | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| REY moneyline | 5.67 | moved up 6.50 |
| Total points | 195.5 | 195.5 |
| STJ spread | −11.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier league standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 468 | 380 | +88 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 390 | 329 | +61 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 351 | 320 | +31 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 377 | 342 | +35 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 436 | 409 | +27 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 367 | −11 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 387 | 417 | −30 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 369 | 387 | −18 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 377 | 420 | −43 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 338 | 366 | −28 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 354 | 388 | −34 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 334 | 412 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Stjarnan host IR Reykjavik in the Premier league on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.