Starogard Gdanski vs Leszno Prediction & Odds

1 Liga Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat, Oct 17 Start12:00ET Round 5

Starogard GdanskiHome · 1-6 · 15th · 2.70

853082918

LesznoAway · 7-0 · 1st · 1.40

9421242524

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Starogard Gdanski 30 8 29 18

Leszno 21 24 25 24

FT Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby · PolandHala im. Andrzeja Grubby · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

STA +4.5 2.22 75%

Starogard Gdanski +4.5 on the spread edge +13.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost STA +4.5 2.22 Starogard Gdanski +4.5 on the spread Confidence75% model 62.7% · market 49.6% edge +13.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.70 41.2% 36.7% +4.5% 51% Lost

Total points U166.5 2.17 51.0% 50.4% +0.6% 51% Lost

Point spread STA +4.5 2.22 62.7% 49.6% +13.1% 75% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Starogard Gdanski8583

Leszno9483

Total 166 actual 179

Winning margin — actual LES by 9

Chance to win STA 51% LES won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Starogard Gdanski8583

Leszno9483

Total 166 Win STA 51% Actual 179 · LES won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Starogard Gdanski large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Leszno

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Starogard Gdanski vs Leszno

Starogard Gdanski Leszno

Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Starogard Gdanski 2-3

Oct 11: Inowroclaw 85, Starogard Gdanski 80. Lost. Odds: Inowroclaw 1.75, Starogard Gdanski 1.93.
Oct 3: Starogard Gdanski 102, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 89. Won. Odds: Starogard Gdanski 2.12, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1.62.
Sep 30: Starogard Gdanski 83, LKS Lodz 101. Lost. Odds: Starogard Gdanski 3.25, LKS Lodz 1.28.
Sep 26: Lancut 90, Starogard Gdanski 76. Lost. Odds: Lancut 1.60, Starogard Gdanski 2.15.
May 23: Spojnia Stargard 78, Starogard Gdanski 79. Won. No odds on record.

Leszno 4-1

Oct 10: Leszno 99, Polonia Warszawa 77. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.31, Polonia Warszawa 3.05.
Oct 3: R. Rzeszow 72, Leszno 98. Won. Odds: R. Rzeszow 3.30, Leszno 1.27.
Sep 30: Leszno 91, Pelplin 74. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.22, Pelplin 3.70.
Sep 26: Leszno 80, WKK Wroclaw 71. Won. Odds: Leszno 1.06, WKK Wroclaw 6.60.
Apr 15: LKS Lodz 93, Leszno 79. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
STA moneyline	3.80	moved down 2.70
LES moneyline	1.22	moved up 1.40
Total points	166.5	moved up 169.5
STA spread	+4.5	moved up +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

1 Liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Leszno	7	7	0	14	636	514	+122
2	Spojnia Stargard	7	6	1	13	649	600	+49
3	LKS Lodz	7	5	2	12	616	548	+68
4	Poznan	7	5	2	12	639	597	+42
5	Polonia Warszawa	7	5	2	12	634	639	−5
6	WKK Wroclaw	7	4	3	11	582	569	+13
7	Inowroclaw	7	4	3	11	558	551	+7
8	Pelplin	7	4	3	11	636	642	−6
9	GKS Tychy	7	3	4	10	539	557	−18
10	Lancut	7	3	4	10	602	593	+9
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	7	3	4	10	629	639	−10
12	Bytom	7	2	5	9	570	603	−33
13	Krosno	7	2	5	9	597	610	−13
14	R. Rzeszow	7	1	6	8	537	623	−86
15	Starogard Gdanski	7	1	6	8	591	642	−51
16	Poli. Opolska	7	1	6	8	571	659	−88

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Starogard Gdanski host Leszno in the 1 Liga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.