St. Polten vs Swans Gmunden prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin STX by 3 Win STX 55% Actual 153 · SWA won
St. Polten vs Swans Gmunden
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Last five games
- Oct 9: St. Polten 73, Traiskirchen Lions 90. Lost. Odds: St. Polten 4.35, Traiskirchen Lions 1.17.
- Oct 4: Vienna Basket 62, St. Polten 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 2: St. Polten 85, Kufstein 77. Won. Odds: St. Polten 1.78, Kufstein 1.98.
- Jan 17: St. Polten 58, Wels 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 8, 2025: Wels 96, St. Polten 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Swans Gmunden 79, Wels 77. Won. Odds: Swans Gmunden 1.20, Wels 4.29.
- Oct 4: Klosterneuburg Dukes 75, Swans Gmunden 80. Won. Odds: Klosterneuburg Dukes 2.16, Swans Gmunden 1.67.
- Sep 27: Swans Gmunden 90, Oberwart Gunners 88. Won. Odds: Swans Gmunden 1.83, Oberwart Gunners 1.83.
- Dec 26, 2025: Wels 100, Swans Gmunden 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 5, 2025: Swans Gmunden 88, Wels 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Swans Gmunden coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for St. Polten, 4 for Swans Gmunden.
- Net rating difference of 16.0 — St. Polten −8.9 per 100 possessions, Swans Gmunden +7.1.
- Different pace — St. Polten averaged 68.7 possessions per game, Swans Gmunden 77.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| STX moneyline | 3.55 | moved down 3.33 |
| SWA moneyline | 1.24 | moved up 1.30 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| STX spread | +8.5 | moved down +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
St. Polten host Swans Gmunden in the Super Cup on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
