Sporting CP vs Rilski Sportist prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin SPO by 11 Win SPO 71% Actual 154 · SPO won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Sporting CP vs Rilski Sportist
Last 10 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Sporting CP at home, last 4 games · Rilski Sportist away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 3: Benfica 84, Sporting CP 71. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.10, Sporting CP 5.20.
- Sep 26: FC Porto 80, Sporting CP 76. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.44, Sporting CP 2.64.
- May 31: FC Porto 94, Sporting CP 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 29: FC Porto 86, Sporting CP 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Sporting CP 88, FC Porto 73. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 14: Breogan 126, Rilski Sportist 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Cherno More 94, Rilski Sportist 100. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Rilski Sportist 108, Cherno More 99. Won. No odds on record.
- May 20: Rilski Sportist 87, Lok. Plovdiv 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Lok. Plovdiv 99, Rilski Sportist 88. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Sporting CP coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sporting CP dropped from 1.46 to 1.30 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.6 — Sporting CP +1.5 per 100 possessions, Rilski Sportist −6.1.
- 2nd vs 6th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPO moneyline | 1.46 | moved down 1.30 |
| RIL moneyline | 2.61 | moved up 3.10 |
| Total points | 165.5 | 165.5 |
| SPO spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 375 | 290 | +85 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 314 | 290 | +24 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 295 | 269 | +26 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 341 | 378 | −37 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 194 | 239 | −45 | |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 276 | −53 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sporting CP host Rilski Sportist in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.