Sporting CP vs Quinta Dos Lombos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 143 Margin QDL by 3 Win QDL 57% Actual 108 · SPO won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sporting CP vs Quinta Dos Lombos
Last 26 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Sporting CP at home, last 15 games · Quinta Dos Lombos away, last 19
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sporting CP 0, Quinta Dos Lombos 4.
- Average total 143.8 points per meeting
- Over 140.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting QDL by 31 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 LFB Women Quinta Dos Lombos 93–62 Sporting CP 155 pts
- Apr 3, 2026 LFB Women Sporting CP 69–80 Quinta Dos Lombos 149 pts
- Dec 19, 2025 LFB Women Sporting CP 64–67 Quinta Dos Lombos 131 pts
- Oct 7, 2025 LFB Women Quinta Dos Lombos 77–63 Sporting CP 140 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Sporting CP 79, SC Coimbroes 65. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.07, SC Coimbroes 6.90.
- Oct 10: GDRAR 50, Sporting CP 87. Won. Odds: GDRAR 2.75, Sporting CP 1.39.
- Oct 4: Sporting CP 63, Benfica 75. Lost. Odds: Sporting CP 3.20, Benfica 1.28.
- Apr 11: Quinta Dos Lombos 93, Sporting CP 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: Sporting CP 69, Quinta Dos Lombos 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 17: Sanjoanense 70, Quinta Dos Lombos 94. Won. Odds: Sanjoanense 4.55, Quinta Dos Lombos 1.06.
- Oct 11: Quinta Dos Lombos 61, Esgueira 53. Won. Odds: Quinta Dos Lombos 1.19, Esgueira 3.95.
- Oct 5: Gdessa Barreiro 65, Quinta Dos Lombos 79. Won. Odds: Gdessa Barreiro 3.90, Quinta Dos Lombos 1.20.
- May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Quinta Dos Lombos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Quinta Dos Lombos dropped from 1.45 to 1.35 since they were first published.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Quinta Dos Lombos.
- Net rating difference of 11.6 — Sporting CP +2.5 per 100 possessions, Quinta Dos Lombos +14.1.
- 143.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 140.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPO moneyline | 2.47 | moved up 2.65 |
| QDL moneyline | 1.45 | moved down 1.35 |
| Total points | 140.5 | 140.5 |
| SPO spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LFB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 391 | 347 | +44 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 329 | +80 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 372 | 308 | +64 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 359 | 309 | +50 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 376 | 378 | −2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 372 | 406 | −34 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 391 | +1 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 359 | −16 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 371 | 388 | −17 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 329 | 374 | −45 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 326 | 377 | −51 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 324 | 398 | −74 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sporting CP host Quinta Dos Lombos in the LFB Women on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.