Sporting CP vs Ovarense Prediction & Odds

LPB Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start10:00ET Round 4

Sporting CPHome · 2-3 · 6th · 1.30

7116221419

OvarenseAway · 4-1 · 1st · 2.80

7024121618

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Sporting CP 16 22 14 19

Ovarense 24 12 16 18

FT Pavilhão João Rocha · PortugalPavilhão João Rocha · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

OVA +12.5 1.31 65%

Ovarense +12.5 on the spread edge −7.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won OVA +12.5 1.31 Ovarense +12.5 on the spread Confidence65% model 64.6% · market 71.7% edge −7.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.80 37.9% 31.7% +6.2% 51% Lost

Total points U169.5 1.39 60.2% 65.8% −5.6% 60% Won

Point spread OVA +12.5 1.31 64.6% 71.7% −7.1% 65% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sporting CP7180

Ovarense7082

Total 162 actual 141

Winning margin OVA by 2 actual SPO by 1

Chance to win OVA 53% SPO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sporting CP7180

Ovarense7082

Total 162 Margin OVA by 2 Win OVA 53% Actual 141 · SPO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 7+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Sporting CP large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Ovarense

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Sporting CP vs Ovarense

Sporting CP Ovarense

Last 10 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Sporting CP 4-1

Oct 21: Sporting CP 71, Kolossos Rhodes 69. After overtime. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.98, Kolossos Rhodes 1.53.
Oct 17: CAB Madeira 93, Sporting CP 84. Lost. Odds: CAB Madeira 2.40, Sporting CP 1.34.
Oct 14: SCM Craiova 77, Sporting CP 97. Won. Odds: SCM Craiova 1.68, Sporting CP 2.10.
Oct 10: Sporting CP 88, Esgueira 60. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.01, Esgueira 10.50.
Oct 7: Sporting CP 79, Rilski Sportist 75. After overtime. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Rilski Sportist 3.10.

Ovarense 3-2

Oct 17: Ovarense 78, CD Povoa 69. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.32, CD Povoa 2.47.
Oct 10: Vitoria 71, Ovarense 87. Won. Odds: Vitoria 1.82, Ovarense 1.65.
Oct 3: Ovarense 96, Braga 83. Won. Odds: Ovarense 1.36, Braga 2.92.
May 16: Ovarense 65, Oliveirense 69. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Oliveirense 90, Ovarense 72. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SPO moneyline	1.45	moved down 1.30
OVA moneyline	2.57	moved up 2.80
Total points	162.5	moved down 161.5
SPO spread	−4.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Sporting CP host Ovarense in the LPB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.