Sporting CP vs Esgueira prediction
Sporting CP
20
23
23
22
Esgueira
17
8
18
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sporting CP8875Esgueira6085Sporting CP8875Esgueira6085Total 160 Margin ESG by 10 Win ESG 70% Actual 148 · SPO won
Sporting CP
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Esgueira
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sporting CP vs Esgueira
Sporting CP
Esgueira
Last 10 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
Sporting CP at home, last 4 games · Esgueira away, last 13
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sporting CP 3, Esgueira 1.
- Average total 172.5 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPO by 12 May 14, 2026
Meetings
- May 14, 2026 LPB Esgueira 73–85 Sporting CP 158 pts
- May 10, 2026 LPB Sporting CP 109–67 Esgueira 176 pts
- Mar 28, 2026 LPB Sporting CP 95–79 Esgueira 174 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 LPB Esgueira 95–87 Sporting CP 182 pts
Last five games
Sporting CP
1-4 - Oct 7: Sporting CP 79, Rilski Sportist 75. After overtime. Won. Odds: Sporting CP 1.30, Rilski Sportist 3.10.
- Oct 3: Benfica 84, Sporting CP 71. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.10, Sporting CP 5.20.
- Sep 26: FC Porto 80, Sporting CP 76. Lost. Odds: FC Porto 1.44, Sporting CP 2.64.
- May 31: FC Porto 94, Sporting CP 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 29: FC Porto 86, Sporting CP 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Esgueira
1-4 - Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Lost. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
- May 14: Esgueira 73, Sporting CP 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Sporting CP 109, Esgueira 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: FC Porto 85, Esgueira 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Esgueira 65, Benfica 107. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Esgueira coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Esgueira, 2 for Sporting CP.
- Over/under moved down from 166.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.7 — Sporting CP +1.5 per 100 possessions, Esgueira −14.2.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Sporting CP.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPO moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.01 |
| ESG moneyline | 8.50 | moved up 10.50 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| SPO spread | −16.5 | moved down −18.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 | Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 |  CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 | Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sporting CP host Esgueira in the LPB on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.