Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction & Odds

LFB Women Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start06:30ET Round 1

Sporting CPHome · 4-1 · 4th · 3.20

6315131817

BenficaAway · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.28

7519161723

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Sporting CP 15 13 18 17

Benfica 19 16 17 23

FT Pavilhão João Rocha · PortugalPavilhão João Rocha · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.28 59%

Benfica to win edge −19.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.28 Benfica to win Confidence59% model 54.2% · market 73.5% edge −19.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.28 54.2% 73.5% −19.3% 59% Won

Total points O138.5 1.83 58.0% 50.4% +7.6% 65% Lost

Point spread SPO +7.5 1.81 55.6% 50.4% +5.2% 61% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sporting CP6370

Benfica7572

Total 142 actual 138

Winning margin BEN by 2 actual BEN by 12

Chance to win BEN 54% BEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Sporting CP6370

Benfica7572

Total 142 Margin BEN by 2 Win BEN 54% Actual 138 · BEN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Sporting CP large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Benfica

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Sporting CP vs Benfica

Sporting CP Benfica

Last 26 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Sporting CP 1-4

Apr 11: Quinta Dos Lombos 93, Sporting CP 62. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 3: Sporting CP 69, Quinta Dos Lombos 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 22: Sanjoanense 75, Sporting CP 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Sporting CP 85, SC Coimbroes 46. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 1: Barcelos 76, Sporting CP 63. Lost. No odds on record.

Benfica 3-2

Sep 27: Benfica 73, Gdessa Barreiro 31. Won. Odds: Benfica 1.25, Gdessa Barreiro 3.50.
May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Lost. No odds on record.
May 8: Benfica 73, Quinta Dos Lombos 69. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Quinta Dos Lombos 80, Benfica 64. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SPO moneyline	3.40	moved down 3.20
BEN moneyline	1.25	moved up 1.28
Total points	138.5	138.5
SPO spread	+7.5	moved down +5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LFB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	CAB Madeira	5	5	0	10	391	347	+44
2	Benfica	5	4	1	9	409	329	+80
3	Quinta Dos Lombos	5	4	1	9	372	308	+64
4	Sporting CP	5	4	1	9	359	309	+50
5	Uniao Sportiva	5	3	2	8	376	378	−2
6	Sanjoanense	5	3	2	8	372	406	−34
7	Gdessa Barreiro	5	2	3	7	392	391	+1
8	Esgueira	5	2	3	7	343	359	−16
9	Barcelos	5	1	4	6	371	388	−17
10	GDRAR	5	1	4	6	329	374	−45
11	CDEFF	5	1	4	6	326	377	−51
12	SC Coimbroes	5	0	5	5	324	398	−74

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Sporting CP host Benfica in the LFB Women on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.