Split vs Zadar prediction
Split
24
19
14
16
Zadar
16
18
23
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Split7378Zadar8477Split7378Zadar8477Total 155 Margin SPL by 1 Win SPL 50% Actual 157 · ZAD won
Split
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zadar
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Split vs Zadar
Split
Zadar
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Split at home, last 5 games · Zadar away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Split 1, Zadar 4.
- Average total 159.4 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAD by 23 May 3, 2026
Meetings
- May 3, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 90–67 Split 157 pts
- Mar 27, 2026 ABA League Split 59–79 Zadar 138 pts
- Mar 6, 2026 ABA League Zadar 106–77 Split 183 pts
- Jan 30, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 82–67 Split 149 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 Premijer liga Split 88–82 OT Zadar 170 pts · OT
Last five games
Split
4-1 - Oct 14: Split 69, Trepca 78. Lost. Odds: Split 1.24, Trepca 3.79.
- Oct 10: Dubrava 62, Split 86. Won. Odds: Dubrava 3.35, Split 1.16.
- Oct 7: Opava 68, Split 74. Won. Odds: Opava 2.40, Split 1.48.
- Oct 2: Split 94, Kvarner 73. Won. Odds: Split 1.09, Kvarner 5.75.
- Sep 26: Dubrovnik 66, Split 81. Won. Odds: Dubrovnik 3.85, Split 1.22.
Zadar
3-2 - Oct 16: Vienna Basket 78, Zadar 63. Lost. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.49, Zadar 2.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
- Oct 11: Mega Basket 88, Zadar 82. Lost. Odds: Mega Basket 1.80, Zadar 1.94.
- Oct 5: Zadar 79, Studentski Centar 65. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.41, Studentski Centar 2.81.
- Oct 2: Skrljevo 69, Zadar 107. Won. Odds: Skrljevo 4.75, Zadar 1.14.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Split dropped from 2.07 to 1.80 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Split, 1 for Zadar.
- Net rating difference of 22.8 — Split +1.5 per 100 possessions, Zadar +24.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Zadar.
- 4-1 in the last five for Split.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPL moneyline | 2.07 | moved down 1.80 |
| ZAD moneyline | 1.67 | moved up 1.88 |
| Total points | 151.5 | moved up 152.5 |
| SPL spread | +2.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 |
| 2 |  Cibona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 |
| 3 |  Kvarner |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 |
| 4 | Split |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 |
| 6 |  Skrljevo |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 |
| 7 |  Virtus Zagreb |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 |
| 8 |  Zabok |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 |
| 9 |  Dubrovnik |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 |
| 10 |  Alkar |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 |
| 11 |  Samobor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 |
| 12 |  Dubrava |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Split host Zadar in the Premijer liga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.