Split vs Kvarner prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin SPL by 3 Win SPL 57% Actual 167 · SPL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Split vs Kvarner
Last 10 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Split 2, Kvarner 1.
- Average total 192.0 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KVA by 5 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 Premijer liga Kvarner 104–99 Split 203 pts
- Jan 17, 2026 Premijer liga Kvarner 77–112 Split 189 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Premijer liga Split 96–88 Kvarner 184 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Dubrovnik 66, Split 81. Won. Odds: Dubrovnik 3.85, Split 1.22.
- May 28: Cibona 78, Split 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Split 83, Cibona 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 22: Cibona 84, Split 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Zabok 93, Split 99. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 27: Kvarner 93, Cedevita Junior 96. Lost. Odds: Kvarner 1.72, Cedevita Junior 2.02.
- May 16: Kvarner 72, Zadar 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Zadar 90, Kvarner 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Cibona 91, Kvarner 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Kvarner 94, Zabok 75. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Kvarner coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 13.3 — Split +1.5 per 100 possessions, Kvarner +14.8.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Split.
- 192.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
- 4th vs 3rd in the Premijer liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPL moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.09 |
| KVA moneyline | 6.00 | moved down 5.75 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| SPL spread | −14.5 | −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Split host Kvarner in the Premijer liga on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.