Spartak Pleven vs Lok. Plovdiv prediction
Spartak Pleven
15
19
18
21
Lok. Plovdiv
21
23
29
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Spartak Pleven7384Lok. Plovdiv9282Spartak Pleven7384Lok. Plovdiv9282Total 166 Margin SPA by 2 Win SPA 56% Actual 165 · LOK won
Spartak Pleven
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lok. Plovdiv
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Spartak Pleven vs Lok. Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
Lok. Plovdiv
Last 7 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Spartak Pleven at home, last 5 games · Lok. Plovdiv away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Spartak Pleven 0, Lok. Plovdiv 3.
- Average total 157.7 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LOK by 10 Apr 20, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 20, 2026 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 77–67 Spartak Pleven 144 pts
- Feb 15, 2026 NBL Spartak Pleven 79–84 Lok. Plovdiv 163 pts
- Dec 3, 2025 NBL Lok. Plovdiv 91–75 Spartak Pleven 166 pts
Last five games
Spartak Pleven
2-3 - Oct 6: Spartak Pleven 61, AEL 79. Lost. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.60, AEL 2.24.
- Sep 30: Fyllingen 54, Spartak Pleven 79. Won. Odds: Fyllingen 2.07, Spartak Pleven 1.71.
- May 4: Cherno More 94, Spartak Pleven 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Spartak Pleven 86, Cherno More 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Cherno More 88, Spartak Pleven 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Lok. Plovdiv
2-3 - Oct 7: VEF Riga 106, Lok. Plovdiv 83. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 1.07, Lok. Plovdiv 6.50.
- Jun 5: Balkan 81, Lok. Plovdiv 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 1: Lok. Plovdiv 84, Balkan 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: Lok. Plovdiv 82, Balkan 77. Won. No odds on record.
- May 27: Balkan 94, Lok. Plovdiv 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Spartak Pleven dropped from 1.75 to 1.45 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Lok. Plovdiv.
- 157.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
- 6th vs 5th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPA moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.45 |
| LOK moneyline | 1.70 | moved up 2.55 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| SPA spread | +1.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Balkan |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 287 | +83 |
| 2 |  Cherno More |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 349 | 279 | +70 |
| 3 |  Rilski Sportist |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 368 | 305 | +63 |
| 4 |  Botev Academic |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 359 | 320 | +39 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 356 | 321 | +35 |
| 6 | Spartak Pleven |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 341 | 307 | +34 |
| 7 |  Minyor |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 329 | 298 | +31 |
| 8 |  Beroe |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 384 | 356 | +28 |
| 9 |  Shumen |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 292 | −14 |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 303 | 398 | −95 |
| 11 |  Levski |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 309 | 375 | −66 |
| 12 |  Polytechnica |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 289 | 388 | −99 |
| 13 |  Botev 2012 |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 263 | −40 |
| 14 |  Yambol |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 198 | 267 | −69 |
- Playoffs
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Spartak Pleven host Lok. Plovdiv in the NBL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.