Southern Hoiho vs Tokomanawa Queens prediction
Southern Hoiho
26
19
16
23
Tokomanawa Queens
21
20
22
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Southern Hoiho8481Tokomanawa Queens8173Southern Hoiho8481Tokomanawa Queens8173Total 154 Margin SOU by 8 Win SOU 67% Actual 165 · SOU won
Southern Hoiho
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tokomanawa Queens
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Southern Hoiho vs Tokomanawa Queens
Southern Hoiho
Tokomanawa Queens
Last 7 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Southern Hoiho 3, Tokomanawa Queens 1.
- Average total 155.8 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOU by 1 Oct 31, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 31, 2026 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 81–82 Southern Hoiho 163 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 75–68 Tokomanawa Queens 143 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Tauihi Women Tokomanawa Queens 88–76 Southern Hoiho 164 pts
- Oct 10, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 80–73 Tokomanawa Queens 153 pts
Last five games
Southern Hoiho
2-3 - Oct 3: Northern Kahu 66, Southern Hoiho 78. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 1.72, Southern Hoiho 1.98.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
- Dec 6, 2025: Mainland Pouakai 99, Southern Hoiho 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 28, 2025: Mid-North Whai 93, Southern Hoiho 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Tokomanawa Queens
2-3 - Oct 4: Tokomanawa Queens 77, Mainland Pouakai 114. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.26, Mainland Pouakai 3.40.
- Sep 26: Tokomanawa Queens 69, Northern Kahu 75. Lost. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.62, Northern Kahu 2.10.
- Dec 5, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 76, Mid-North Whai 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 29, 2025: Northern Kahu 72, Tokomanawa Queens 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 22, 2025: Tokomanawa Queens 88, Mid-North Whai 82. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Tokomanawa Queens coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Tokomanawa Queens dropped from 2.55 to 2.00 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 24.1 — Southern Hoiho +11.2 per 100 possessions, Tokomanawa Queens −12.9.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Southern Hoiho.
- 155.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOU moneyline | 1.47 | moved up 1.70 |
| TOK moneyline | 2.55 | moved down 2.00 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| SOU spread | −3.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 |  Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 |  Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Southern Hoiho host Tokomanawa Queens in the Tauihi Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.