Southern Hoiho vs Tauranga Whai prediction
Southern Hoiho
28
20
17
14
Tauranga Whai
20
17
12
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Southern Hoiho7981Tauranga Whai6574Southern Hoiho7981Tauranga Whai6574Total 155 Margin SOU by 7 Win SOU 69% Actual 144 · SOU won
Southern Hoiho
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tauranga Whai
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Southern Hoiho vs Tauranga Whai
Southern Hoiho
Tauranga Whai
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Southern Hoiho 1, Tauranga Whai 3.
- Average total 157.5 points per meeting
- Over 153.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOU by 8 Oct 2, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 2, 2026 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 59–67 Southern Hoiho 126 pts
- Nov 28, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 93–84 Southern Hoiho 177 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 Tauihi Women Southern Hoiho 81–83 Mid-North Whai 164 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 Tauihi Women Mid-North Whai 89–74 Southern Hoiho 163 pts
Last five games
Southern Hoiho
4-1 - Oct 17: Mainland Pouakai 75, Southern Hoiho 82. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.61, Southern Hoiho 2.17.
- Oct 11: Southern Hoiho 84, Tokomanawa Queens 81. Won. Odds: Southern Hoiho 1.70, Tokomanawa Queens 2.00.
- Oct 3: Northern Kahu 66, Southern Hoiho 78. Won. Odds: Northern Kahu 1.72, Southern Hoiho 1.98.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 26: Mainland Pouakai 87, Southern Hoiho 80. Lost. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.62, Southern Hoiho 2.10.
Tauranga Whai
3-2 - Oct 17: Northern Kahu 85, Tauranga Whai 84. Lost. Odds: Northern Kahu 2.33, Tauranga Whai 1.54.
- Oct 16: Tokomanawa Queens 79, Tauranga Whai 84. Won. Odds: Tokomanawa Queens 1.95, Tauranga Whai 1.75.
- Oct 9: Mainland Pouakai 78, Tauranga Whai 82. Won. Odds: Mainland Pouakai 1.36, Tauranga Whai 2.75.
- Oct 2: Mid-North Whai 59, Southern Hoiho 67. Lost. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.20, Southern Hoiho 3.90.
- Sep 25: Mid-North Whai 81, Northern Kahu 60. Won. Odds: Mid-North Whai 1.31, Northern Kahu 3.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Southern Hoiho coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 10.4 — Southern Hoiho +11.2 per 100 possessions, Tauranga Whai +0.8.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tauranga Whai.
- 157.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 153.5.
- 1st vs 3rd in the Tauihi Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOU moneyline | 1.48 | moved down 1.40 |
| TAU moneyline | 2.34 | moved up 2.50 |
| Total points | 153.5 | 153.5 |
| SOU spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Tauihi Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho |
8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 638 | 583 | +55 |
| 2 |  Mainland Pouakai |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 631 | 573 | +58 |
| 3 | Tauranga Whai |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 530 | 538 | −8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kahu |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 442 | 492 | −50 |
| 5 |  Tokomanawa Queens |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 477 | 532 | −55 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Southern Hoiho host Tauranga Whai in the Tauihi Women on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.