South Korea vs Iran prediction
South Korea
12
24
25
16
Iran
8
16
13
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
South Korea7783Iran5173South Korea7783Iran5173Total 156 Margin SOU by 10 Win SOU 72% Actual 128 · SOU won
South Korea vs Iran
South Korea
Iran
Last five games
South Korea
4-1 - Sep 15: Jordan 80, South Korea 114. Won. Odds: Jordan 7.40, South Korea 1.06.
- Sep 13: Japan 83, South Korea 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Indonesia 48, South Korea 102. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: South Korea 82, Saudi Arabia 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 16: Japan 95, South Korea 66. Lost. No odds on record.
Iran
3-1 - Sep 16: Iran 79, Bahrain 74. Won. Odds: Iran 1.37, Bahrain 2.85.
- Sep 12: Iran 81, Jordan 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 11: Chinese Taipei 69, Iran 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 9: Iran 53, Qatar 59. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for South Korea coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Iran coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on South Korea dropped from 1.39 to 1.11 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 159.5 to 155 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOU moneyline | 1.39 | moved down 1.11 |
| IRA moneyline | 2.59 | moved up 5.50 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved down 155 |
| SOU spread | −18.5 | moved up −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Asian Games standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea |
3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 284 | 197 | +87 |
| 2 |  Japan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 267 | 233 | +34 |
| 3 |  Saudi Arabia |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 246 | 257 | −11 |
| 4 |  Indonesia |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 190 | 300 | −110 |
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chinese Taipei |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 221 | +22 |
| 2 | Iran |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 206 | 196 | +10 |
| 3 |  Jordan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 224 | 229 | −5 |
| 4 |  Qatar |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 193 | 220 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
South Korea host Iran in the Asian Games on Friday, September 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.