South East Melbourne vs Tasmania JackJumpers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 190 Margin TAS by 2 Win TAS 55% Actual 187 · TAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
South East Melbourne vs Tasmania JackJumpers
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
South East Melbourne at home, last 5 games · Tasmania JackJumpers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: South East Melbourne 2, Tasmania JackJumpers 3.
- Average total 191.4 points per meeting
- Over 190.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAS by 5 Sep 21, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 21, 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 96–91 South East Melbourne 187 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 NBL South East Melbourne 120–104 Tasmania JackJumpers 224 pts
- Dec 29, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 87–84 South East Melbourne 171 pts
- Dec 10, 2025 NBL South East Melbourne 81–89 Tasmania JackJumpers 170 pts
- Nov 6, 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers 102–103 South East Melbourne 205 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: South East Melbourne 108, Adelaide 94. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.71, Adelaide 2.06.
- Oct 17: South East Melbourne 115, Cairns Taipans 83. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.38, Cairns Taipans 2.90.
- Oct 15: Brisbane Bullets 115, South East Melbourne 105. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 2.50, South East Melbourne 1.31.
- Oct 10: South East Melbourne 99, Melbourne United 104. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 2.18, Melbourne United 1.72.
- Oct 4: South East Melbourne 113, Illawarra Hawks 96. Won. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.60, Illawarra Hawks 2.27.
- Oct 30: Tasmania JackJumpers 68, Sydney 71. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.88, Sydney 1.80.
- Oct 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 106, Brisbane Bullets 85. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.20, Brisbane Bullets 3.80.
- Oct 18: Tasmania JackJumpers 98, New Zealand Breakers 92. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.32, New Zealand Breakers 2.47.
- Oct 16: Tasmania JackJumpers 88, Adelaide 94. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.49, Adelaide 2.50.
- Oct 9: Illawarra Hawks 112, Tasmania JackJumpers 122. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.68, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.10.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on South East Melbourne dropped from 1.57 to 1.33 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for South East Melbourne, 1 for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tasmania JackJumpers.
- 191.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 190.5.
- 8th vs 2nd in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SEM moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.33 |
| TAS moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 3.10 |
| Total points | 189.5 | moved up 190.5 |
| SEM spread | −4.5 | moved down −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
South East Melbourne host Tasmania JackJumpers in the NBL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.