Soles vs Fuerza Regia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin SOL by 7 Win SOL 66% Actual 167 · FUE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Soles vs Fuerza Regia
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Soles at home, last 18 games · Fuerza Regia away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Soles 2, Fuerza Regia 3.
- Average total 182.8 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 5 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOL by 2 Oct 6, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 6, 2026 LNBP Soles 88–86 Fuerza Regia 174 pts
- Jul 26, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 95–89 OT Soles 184 pts · OT
- Jul 25, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 94–91 OT Soles 185 pts · OT
- Sep 9, 2025 LNBP Fuerza Regia 102–81 Soles 183 pts
- Sep 8, 2025 LNBP Fuerza Regia 91–97 Soles 188 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Soles 88, Fuerza Regia 86. Won. Odds: Soles 1.36, Fuerza Regia 2.85.
- Oct 2: Soles 86, Diablos Rojos 43. Won. Odds: Soles 1.16, Diablos Rojos 4.65.
- Oct 1: Soles 84, Diablos Rojos 93. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.24, Diablos Rojos 3.50.
- Sep 26: Dorados 64, Soles 97. Won. Odds: Dorados 2.65, Soles 1.40.
- Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
- Oct 6: Soles 88, Fuerza Regia 86. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.36, Fuerza Regia 2.85.
- Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
- Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Won. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
- Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
- Sep 25: Fuerza Regia 82, El Calor de Cancun 74. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.15, El Calor de Cancun 4.70.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Soles and Fuerza Regia played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Fuerza Regia dropped from 3.15 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- 15-3 at home for Soles this season.
- Net rating difference of 17.1 — Soles +23.1 per 100 possessions, Fuerza Regia +6.0.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fuerza Regia.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOL moneyline | 1.32 | moved up 1.65 |
| FUE moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 2.10 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| SOL spread | −6.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Soles host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.