Soles vs Fuerza Regia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin SOL by 8 Win SOL 69% Actual 174 · SOL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Soles vs Fuerza Regia
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Soles at home, last 18 games · Fuerza Regia away, last 18
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Soles 1, Fuerza Regia 4.
- Average total 181.4 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 5 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FUE by 17 Oct 7, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 7, 2026 LNBP Soles 75–92 Fuerza Regia 167 pts
- Jul 26, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 95–89 OT Soles 184 pts · OT
- Jul 25, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 94–91 OT Soles 185 pts · OT
- Sep 9, 2025 LNBP Fuerza Regia 102–81 Soles 183 pts
- Sep 8, 2025 LNBP Fuerza Regia 91–97 Soles 188 pts
Last five games
- Oct 2: Soles 86, Diablos Rojos 43. Won. Odds: Soles 1.16, Diablos Rojos 4.65.
- Oct 1: Soles 84, Diablos Rojos 93. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.24, Diablos Rojos 3.50.
- Sep 26: Dorados 64, Soles 97. Won. Odds: Dorados 2.65, Soles 1.40.
- Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
- Sep 21: Soles 76, Panteras 77. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.45, Panteras 2.50.
- Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
- Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Won. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
- Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
- Sep 25: Fuerza Regia 82, El Calor de Cancun 74. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.15, El Calor de Cancun 4.70.
- Sep 21: Correcaminos 52, Fuerza Regia 93. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.15, Fuerza Regia 1.31.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 15-3 at home for Soles this season.
- Net rating difference of 17.1 — Soles +23.1 per 100 possessions, Fuerza Regia +6.0.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Fuerza Regia.
- 4-1 in the last five for Fuerza Regia.
- 181.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOL moneyline | 1.35 | moved up 1.36 |
| FUE moneyline | 2.95 | moved down 2.85 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 162.5 |
| SOL spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Soles host Fuerza Regia in the LNBP on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.