Soles vs Diablos Rojos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin SOL by 11 Win SOL 76% Actual 177 · DIA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Soles vs Diablos Rojos
Last 30 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Soles at home, last 18 games · Diablos Rojos away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Soles 3, Diablos Rojos 0.
- Average total 140.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SOL by 43 Oct 2, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 2, 2026 LNBP Soles 86–43 Diablos Rojos 129 pts
- Sep 4, 2025 LNBP Soles 76–55 Diablos Rojos 131 pts
- Sep 3, 2025 LNBP Soles 82–78 Diablos Rojos 160 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Dorados 64, Soles 97. Won. Odds: Dorados 2.65, Soles 1.40.
- Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
- Sep 21: Soles 76, Panteras 77. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.45, Panteras 2.50.
- Sep 20: Soles 77, Panteras 67. Won. Odds: Soles 1.35, Panteras 2.95.
- Sep 15: Freseros 63, Soles 92. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.22, Soles 1.60.
- Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Lost. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
- Sep 26: Diablos Rojos 77, Astros 101. Lost. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.82, Astros 1.88.
- Sep 21: El Calor de Cancun 83, Diablos Rojos 86. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 20: El Calor de Cancun 86, Diablos Rojos 74. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.02, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 16: Diablos Rojos 96, Correcaminos 91. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.24, Correcaminos 3.70.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Soles.
- 15-3 at home for Soles this season.
- Net rating difference of 28.2 — Soles +23.1 per 100 possessions, Diablos Rojos −5.1.
- −6.4 points away — Diablos Rojos averaged 85.7 at home and 79.3 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Soles.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOL moneyline | 1.20 | moved up 1.24 |
| DIA moneyline | 3.75 | moved down 3.50 |
| Total points | 165.5 | 165.5 |
| SOL spread · regulation | −9.5 | −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Soles host Diablos Rojos in the LNBP on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.