Sodertalje vs AIK Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 153 Margin SOD by 9 Win SOD 71% Actual 136 · SOD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sodertalje vs AIK Basket
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Sodertalje at home, last 17 games · AIK Basket away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sodertalje 0, AIK Basket 2.
- Average total 149.0 points per meeting
- Over 149.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAS by 2 Mar 21, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 21, 2026 Basketligan Women AIK Basket 68–66 Sodertalje 134 pts
- Oct 22, 2025 Basketligan Women Sodertalje 80–84 AIK Basket 164 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: Uppsala 74, Sodertalje 77. Won. Odds: Uppsala 3.57, Sodertalje 1.25.
- Apr 26: Lulea 94, Sodertalje 64. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Sodertalje 64, Lulea 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Lulea 95, Sodertalje 57. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 16: Norrkoping 76, Sodertalje 78. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Alvik 87, AIK Basket 76. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.29, AIK Basket 3.15.
- Mar 29: AIK Basket 68, Ostersund 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Ostersund 79, AIK Basket 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: AIK Basket 68, Sodertalje 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: AIK Basket 69, Malbas Malmo 66. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for AIK Basket coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.4 — Sodertalje +3.9 per 100 possessions, AIK Basket −2.5.
- 2nd vs 9th in the Basketligan Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SOD moneyline | 1.03 | moved down 1.01 |
| BAS moneyline | 8.00 | moved up 10.00 |
| Total points | 148.5 | moved up 149.5 |
| SOD spread | −16.5 | −16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 401 | 317 | +84 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 366 | 345 | +21 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 332 | 263 | +69 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 496 | 281 | +215 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 440 | 319 | +121 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 396 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 320 | 288 | +32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 374 | 382 | −8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 328 | 416 | −88 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 381 | −89 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 450 | −160 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 278 | 479 | −201 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Basketettan Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sodertalje host AIK Basket in the Basketligan Women on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.