Sheffield Sharks vs Leicester Riders prediction
Sheffield Sharks
30
13
19
23
Leicester Riders
22
19
21
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sheffield Sharks8588Leicester Riders7581Sheffield Sharks8588Leicester Riders7581Total 169 Margin SHE by 7 Win SHE 68% Actual 160 · SHE won
Sheffield Sharks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Leicester Riders
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Sheffield Sharks vs Leicester Riders
Sheffield Sharks
Leicester Riders
Last 5 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sheffield Sharks 2, Leicester Riders 3.
- Average total 169.6 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEI by 10 May 3, 2026
Meetings
- May 3, 2026 SLB Sheffield Sharks 87–97 Leicester Riders 184 pts
- May 1, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 78–81 Sheffield Sharks 159 pts
- Apr 21, 2026 SLB Leicester Riders 87–85 Sheffield Sharks 172 pts
- Apr 19, 2026 SLB Sheffield Sharks 80–92 Leicester Riders 172 pts
- Apr 3, 2026 SLB Sheffield Sharks 93–68 Leicester Riders 161 pts
Last five games
Sheffield Sharks
2-3 - Sep 27: Sheffield Sharks 98, Caledonia Gladiators 76. Won. Odds: Sheffield Sharks 1.43, Caledonia Gladiators 2.69.
- May 3: Sheffield Sharks 87, Leicester Riders 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Leicester Riders 78, Sheffield Sharks 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Sheffield Sharks 74, Manchester Basketball 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Leicester Riders 87, Sheffield Sharks 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Leicester Riders
0-5 - Oct 9: Leicester Riders 73, Bristol Flyers 78. Lost. Odds: Leicester Riders 1.70, Bristol Flyers 2.02.
- Oct 2: London Lions 71, Leicester Riders 66. Lost. Odds: London Lions 1.07, Leicester Riders 6.25.
- Sep 27: Cheshire Phoenix 108, Leicester Riders 94. Lost. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.48, Leicester Riders 2.52.
- May 10: London Lions 78, Leicester Riders 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Leicester Riders 70, London Lions 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Leicester Riders coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sheffield Sharks dropped from 1.47 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Sheffield Sharks +1.8 per 100 possessions, Leicester Riders −11.9.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Leicester Riders.
- 169.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SHE moneyline | 1.47 | moved down 1.23 |
| LEI moneyline | 2.55 | moved up 3.90 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| SHE spread | −4.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  London Lions |
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 |
| 2 |  Newcastle Eagles |
8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 |
| 3 |  Bristol Flyers |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 |
| 4 |  Manchester Basketball |
8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 |
| 5 |  Caledonia Gladiators |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 |
| 6 | Sheffield Sharks |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 |
| 7 |  Cheshire Phoenix |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 |
| 9 |  Surrey 89ers |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 |
| 10 | Leicester Riders |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sheffield Sharks host Leicester Riders in the SLB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.