Shanxi Zhongyu vs Jiangsu Dragons prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 179 Margin SHA by 13 Win SHA 79% Actual 180 · SHA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Shanxi Zhongyu vs Jiangsu Dragons
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Shanxi Zhongyu 1, Jiangsu Dragons 1.
- Average total 170.5 points per meeting
- Over 178.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting JIA by 1 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 CBA Jiangsu Dragons 87–86 Shanxi Zhongyu 173 pts
- Jan 4, 2026 CBA Shanxi Zhongyu 91–77 Jiangsu Dragons 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 22: Shanxi Zhongyu 103, Shanghai 92. Won. Odds: Shanxi Zhongyu 2.85, Shanghai 1.37.
- Oct 20: Ningbo Rockets 73, Shanxi Zhongyu 103. Won. Odds: Ningbo Rockets 7.50, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.07.
- Oct 17: Zhejiang Guangsha 115, Shanxi Zhongyu 109. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Zhejiang Guangsha 2.32, Shanxi Zhongyu 1.37.
- May 13: Zhejiang Guangsha 91, Shanxi Zhongyu 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Shanxi Zhongyu 81, Zhejiang Guangsha 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 23: Beijing Royal Fighters 93, Jiangsu Dragons 82. Lost. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 1.11, Jiangsu Dragons 6.25.
- Oct 19: Jiangsu Dragons 81, Shenzhen 89. Lost. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 5.00, Shenzhen 1.14.
- Oct 17: Jiangsu Dragons 85, Fujian 89. Lost. Odds: Jiangsu Dragons 1.35, Fujian 2.40.
- Apr 24: Jiangsu Dragons 89, Liaoning 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Jiangsu Dragons 101, Sichuan 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Jiangsu Dragons coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 180.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 20.5 — Shanxi Zhongyu +12.6 per 100 possessions, Jiangsu Dragons −7.9.
- 5th vs 19th in the CBA standings.
- Different pace — Shanxi Zhongyu averaged 83.1 possessions per game, Jiangsu Dragons 74.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SHA moneyline | 1.03 | moved down 1.02 |
| JIA moneyline | 9.75 | moved up 10.50 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved down 178.5 |
| SHA spread | −17.5 | −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Shanxi Zhongyu host Jiangsu Dragons in the CBA on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.