Shanghai vs Shenzhen prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 197 Margin SHA by 7 Win SHA 64% Actual 170 · SHA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Shanghai vs Shenzhen
Last 10 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Shanghai at home, last 5 games · Shenzhen away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Shanghai 1, Shenzhen 1.
- Average total 198.5 points per meeting
- Over 193.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SHA by 9 Jan 30, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 30, 2026 CBA Shanghai 101–92 Shenzhen 193 pts
- Jan 13, 2026 CBA Shenzhen 107–97 Shanghai 204 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Beijing Royal Fighters 101, Shanghai 87. Lost. Odds: Beijing Royal Fighters 1.62, Shanghai 2.15.
- Sep 24: Rytas 107, Shanghai 66. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.03, Shanghai 11.40.
- Sep 23: Shanghai 115, RSSB Tigers 117. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Shanghai 2.32, RSSB Tigers 1.56.
- Jun 5: Shanghai 103, Zhejiang Guangsha 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 2: Zhejiang Guangsha 101, Shanghai 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Shenzhen 88, Zhejiang Guangsha 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Shenzhen 91, Zhejiang Guangsha 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: Zhejiang Guangsha 92, Shenzhen 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Zhejiang Guangsha 111, Shenzhen 102. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Zhejiang Chouzhou 91, Shenzhen 95. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Shanghai coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Shanghai dropped from 1.20 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 185.5 to 193.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 25.6 — Shanghai +3.8 per 100 possessions, Shenzhen −21.8.
- 2nd vs 12th in the CBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SHA moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.13 |
| SHE moneyline | 4.20 | moved up 5.50 |
| Total points | 185.5 | moved up 193.5 |
| SHA spread | −10.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Shanghai host Shenzhen in the CBA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.