Shandong vs Liaoning prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 180 Margin SHA by 4 Win SHA 61% Actual 179 · LIA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Shandong vs Liaoning
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Shandong at home, last 4 games · Liaoning away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Shandong 3, Liaoning 2.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SHA by 16 May 3, 2026
Meetings
- May 3, 2026 CBA Shandong 98–82 Liaoning 180 pts
- May 1, 2026 CBA Liaoning 86–102 Shandong 188 pts
- Apr 28, 2026 CBA Shandong 67–77 Liaoning 144 pts
- Apr 13, 2026 CBA Shandong 75–80 Liaoning 155 pts
- Jan 23, 2026 CBA Liaoning 79–84 Shandong 163 pts
Last five games
- May 9: Shandong 68, Shanghai 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: Shanghai 84, Shandong 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Shandong 98, Liaoning 82. Won. No odds on record.
- May 1: Liaoning 86, Shandong 102. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Shandong 67, Liaoning 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Shandong 98, Liaoning 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Liaoning 86, Shandong 102. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Shandong 67, Liaoning 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Jiangsu Dragons 89, Liaoning 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 20: Shanghai 114, Liaoning 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Shandong dropped from 2.15 to 1.47 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 173.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 15.6 — Shandong −3.3 per 100 possessions, Liaoning +12.3.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Shandong.
- 166.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SHA moneyline | 2.15 | moved down 1.47 |
| LIA moneyline | 1.64 | moved up 2.10 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| SHA spread | +2.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
CBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 739 | 549 | +190 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 680 | 604 | +76 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 676 | 609 | +67 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 694 | 567 | +127 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 707 | 636 | +71 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 579 | 519 | +60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 634 | 671 | −37 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 637 | 661 | −24 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 642 | 618 | +24 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 637 | 655 | −18 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 586 | 587 | −1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 537 | 661 | −124 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 602 | 629 | −27 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 600 | 611 | −11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 620 | 637 | −17 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 564 | 669 | −105 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 612 | 681 | −69 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 649 | 665 | −16 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 557 | 602 | −45 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 545 | 666 | −121 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Shandong host Liaoning in the CBA on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.