Sebastiani Rieti vs Pistoia prediction
Sebastiani Rieti
24
21
12
21
Pistoia
23
15
12
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sebastiani Rieti7885Pistoia7073Sebastiani Rieti7885Pistoia7073Total 158 Margin SEB by 12 Win SEB 78% Actual 148 · SEB won
Sebastiani Rieti
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Pistoia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Sebastiani Rieti vs Pistoia
Sebastiani Rieti
Pistoia
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sebastiani Rieti 1, Pistoia 1.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SEB by 1 Jan 25, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 25, 2026 Serie A2 Pistoia 85–86 OT Sebastiani Rieti 171 pts · OT
- Oct 19, 2025 Serie A2 Sebastiani Rieti 73–88 Pistoia 161 pts
Last five games
Sebastiani Rieti
2-3 - Oct 4: Vigevano 64, Sebastiani Rieti 78. Won. Odds: Vigevano 2.25, Sebastiani Rieti 1.55.
- Sep 27: Sebastiani Rieti 81, Caserta 73. Won. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.15, Caserta 4.50.
- May 15: Sebastiani Rieti 78, Cividale 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Sebastiani Rieti 73, Cividale 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Cividale 79, Sebastiani Rieti 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Pistoia
2-3 - Oct 4: Pistoia 77, Basket Torino 84. Lost. Odds: Pistoia 1.39, Basket Torino 2.77.
- Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Lost. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
- May 13: Ruvo Di Puglia 78, Pistoia 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Pistoia 81, Ruvo Di Puglia 88. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Pistoia 79, Ruvo Di Puglia 78. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7th vs 9th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SEB moneyline | 1.25 | moved up 1.27 |
| PIS moneyline | 3.60 | moved down 3.45 |
| Total points | 152.5 | 152.5 |
| SEB spread | −9.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Libertas Livorno |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 |
| 2 |  Avellino Basket |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 |
| 3 |  Pesaro |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 |
| 4 |  Rimini |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 |
| 5 |  Basket Torino |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 |
| 6 |  Fortitudo Bologna |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 |
| 7 | Sebastiani Rieti |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 |
| 8 |  Brindisi |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 |
| 9 | Pistoia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 |
| 10 |  Forli |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 |
| 11 |  Sassari |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 |
| 12 |  Cividale |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 |
| 13 |  Caserta |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 |
| 14 |  Ruvo Di Puglia |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 |
| 15 |  Vigevano |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 |
| 16 |  Mestre |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 |
| 17 |  Cento |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 |
| 18 |  Montecatini |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 |
| 19 |  Urania Milano |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 |
| 20 |  JuVi Cremona |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sebastiani Rieti host Pistoia in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.