Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Odds — Sep 17

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WNBA Thursday, September 17, 2026Thu, Sep 17 Start22:00ET

Seattle StormHome · 8-36 · 8th · 4.51

7713212914

Las Vegas AcesAway · 31-13 · 3rd · 1.19

11425273329

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Seattle Storm 13 21 29 14

Las Vegas Aces 25 27 33 29

FT Climate Pledge Arena · USAClimate Pledge Arena

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

SEA +9.5 1.86 58%

Seattle Storm +9.5 on the spread edge +4.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost SEA +9.5 1.86 Seattle Storm +9.5 on the spread Confidence58% model 54.4% · market 50.0% edge +4.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.19 67.3% 75.7% −8.4% 50% Won

Total points O168.5 1.52 63.1% 60.8% +2.3% 50% Won

Point spread SEA +9.5 1.86 54.4% 50.0% +4.4% 58% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Seattle Storm7784

Las Vegas Aces11491

Total 175 actual 191

Winning margin LVA by 7 actual LVA by 37

Chance to win LVA 67% LVA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Seattle Storm7784

Las Vegas Aces11491

Total 175 Margin LVA by 7 Win LVA 67% Actual 191 · LVA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Seattle Storm large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Las Vegas Aces

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces

Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces

Last 30 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Seattle Storm 1-4

Aug 30: Seattle Storm 74, Los Angeles Sparks 90. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 26: Seattle Storm 90, Toronto Tempo 78. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 23: Dallas Wings 92, Seattle Storm 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 16: Seattle Storm 80, Chicago Sky 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 14: Seattle Storm 82, Portland Fire 84. Lost. No odds on record.

Las Vegas Aces 3-2

Aug 28: Las Vegas Aces 93, Toronto Tempo 73. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 23: Toronto Tempo 78, Las Vegas Aces 88. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 20: Las Vegas Aces 101, Connecticut Sun 78. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 18: Las Vegas Aces 82, Atlanta Dream 97. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 15: Las Vegas Aces 87, Minnesota Lynx 92. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SEA moneyline	4.00	moved up 4.51
LVA moneyline	1.24	moved down 1.19
Total points	173.5	moved up 174.5
SEA spread	+8.5	moved up +10.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
5	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
6	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
7	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
8	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Seattle Storm host Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.