SCM Timisoara vs CSM Targu Mures prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin TIM by 5 Win TIM 63% Actual 150 · CTM won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
SCM Timisoara vs CSM Targu Mures
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: SCM Timisoara 1, CSM Targu Mures 3.
- Average total 189.3 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CTM by 2 Jan 23, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 23, 2026 Divizia A CSM Targu Mures 115–113 OT SCM Timisoara 228 pts · OT
- Oct 8, 2025 Divizia A SCM Timisoara 89–95 CSM Targu Mures 184 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Romanian Cup SCM Timisoara 93–69 CSM Targu Mures 162 pts
- Sep 23, 2025 Romanian Cup CSM Targu Mures 106–77 SCM Timisoara 183 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: Petrolul Ploiesti 74, SCM Timisoara 88. Won. Odds: Petrolul Ploiesti 2.10, SCM Timisoara 1.62.
- Sep 26: SCM Timisoara 65, Petrolul Ploiesti 72. Lost. Odds: SCM Timisoara 1.18, Petrolul Ploiesti 4.15.
- May 27: SCM Timisoara 90, Valcea 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Valcea 92, SCM Timisoara 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: SCM Timisoara 90, Valcea 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 30: CSM Targu Mures 109, Municipal Galati 83. Won. Odds: CSM Targu Mures 1.09, Municipal Galati 5.75.
- Sep 26: Municipal Galati 73, CSM Targu Mures 93. Won. Odds: Municipal Galati 4.45, CSM Targu Mures 1.16.
- May 23: Corona Brasov 81, CSM Targu Mures 96. Won. No odds on record.
- May 21: CSM Targu Mures 118, Corona Brasov 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: CSM Targu Jiu 95, CSM Targu Mures 98. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for CSM Targu Mures coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 12.1 — SCM Timisoara +0.1 per 100 possessions, CSM Targu Mures +12.2.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for CSM Targu Mures.
- 189.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
- 11th vs 2nd in the Divizia A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TIM moneyline | 1.52 | moved up 1.57 |
| CTM moneyline | 2.30 | moved down 2.20 |
| Total points | 175.5 | 175.5 |
| TIM spread | −3.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Divizia A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 455 | 405 | +50 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 456 | 416 | +40 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 395 | +56 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 443 | 422 | +21 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 439 | 442 | −3 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 438 | 445 | −7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 457 | 463 | −6 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 426 | 447 | −21 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 386 | 397 | −11 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 380 | 462 | −82 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 353 | 358 | −5 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 235 | +31 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 305 | 292 | +13 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 436 | 512 | −76 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
SCM Timisoara host CSM Targu Mures in the Divizia A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.