Scafati vs Varese prediction
Scafati
17
21
24
15
Varese
24
16
30
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Scafati7787Varese8576Scafati7787Varese8576Total 163 Margin SCA by 11 Win SCA 80% Actual 162 · VAR won
Scafati
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Varese
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Scafati vs Varese
Scafati
Varese
Last 5 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Scafati
4-1 - Sep 27: Udine 87, Scafati 63. Lost. Odds: Udine 1.50, Scafati 2.45.
- Apr 26: Rimini 76, Scafati 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Scafati 93, Avellino Basket 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Cento 83, Scafati 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Scafati 85, Brindisi 77. Won. No odds on record.
Varese
2-3 - Sep 27: Varese 69, Virtus Bologna 90. Lost. Odds: Varese 2.25, Virtus Bologna 1.60.
- May 10: Virtus Bologna 104, Varese 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Varese 84, Cremona 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Cantu 100, Varese 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Varese 91, Sassari 90. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 163.5 to 168.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 19.0 — Scafati −17.9 per 100 possessions, Varese +1.1.
- 4-1 in the last five for Scafati.
- 15th vs 5th in the Lega A standings.
- Different pace — Scafati averaged 68.3 possessions per game, Varese 80.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SCA moneyline | 1.85 | moved up 1.94 |
| VAR moneyline | 1.85 | moved down 1.83 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 168.5 |
| SCA spread | −1.5 | moved up +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Lega A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Bologna |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 487 | 421 | +66 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 565 | 517 | +48 |
| 3 |  Treviso |
6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 559 | 533 | +26 |
| 4 |  Maxima Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 518 | 499 | +19 |
| 5 | Varese |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 533 | 529 | +4 |
| 6 |  Olimpia Milano |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 453 | 411 | +42 |
| 7 |  Trento |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 477 | 497 | −20 |
| 8 |  Verona |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 538 | 543 | −5 |
| 9 |  Venezia |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 532 | 542 | −10 |
| 10 |  Udine |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 485 | 481 | +4 |
| 11 |  Trieste |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 445 | 426 | +19 |
| 12 |  BC Roma |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 601 | 579 | +22 |
| 13 |  Reggiana |
6 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 494 | 503 | −9 |
| 14 |  Tortona |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 499 | 561 | −62 |
| 15 | Scafati |
6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 482 | 553 | −71 |
| 16 |  Cantu |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 369 | 442 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Scafati host Varese in the Lega A on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.