Santos vs Abejas Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.78 59.2% 57.0% +2.2% 68% Lost

Total points U181.5 1.42 71.2% 64.9% +6.3% 63% Won

Point spread SAN +5.5 1.36 73.0% 71.7% +1.3% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Santos8487

Abejas9484

Total 171 actual 178

Winning margin SAN by 3 actual ABE by 10

Chance to win SAN 59% ABE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Santos8487

Abejas9484

Total 171 Margin SAN by 3 Win SAN 59% Actual 178 · ABE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Santos large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Abejas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Santos vs Abejas

Santos Abejas

Last 28 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 170.8 points per meeting
Over 174.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting ABE by 10 Oct 12, 2026

Meetings

Oct 12, 2026 LNBP Abejas 8474 Santos 158 pts
Oct 11, 2026 LNBP Abejas 82106 Santos 188 pts
Sep 26, 2026 LNBP Abejas 9278 Santos 170 pts
Sep 25, 2026 LNBP Abejas 8687 Santos 173 pts
Aug 8, 2025 LNBP Santos 9075 Abejas 165 pts

Last five games

Santos 3-2

Oct 12: Abejas 84, Santos 74. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.44, Santos 2.62.
Oct 11: Abejas 82, Santos 106. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.45, Santos 2.55.
Oct 7: Mineros 82, Santos 93. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.28, Santos 3.35.
Oct 6: Mineros 96, Santos 75. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.36, Santos 2.80.
Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Won. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.

Abejas 4-1

Oct 12: Abejas 84, Santos 74. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.44, Santos 2.62.
Oct 11: Abejas 82, Santos 106. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.45, Santos 2.55.
Oct 7: Correcaminos 89, Abejas 95. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.90, Abejas 1.21.
Oct 6: Correcaminos 76, Abejas 98. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 2.50, Abejas 1.45.
Oct 2: Mineros 74, Abejas 81. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.42, Abejas 2.60.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Abejas dropped from 2.15 to 1.93 since they were first published.
Net rating difference of 6.6 — Santos −3.7 per 100 possessions, Abejas −10.3.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Santos.
4-1 in the last five for Abejas.
170.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 174.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
SAN moneyline	1.62	moved up 1.78
ABE moneyline	2.15	moved down 1.93
Total points	174.5	174.5
SAN spread	−2.5	moved up −1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Santos vs Abejas prediction