Sanjoanense vs Quinta Dos Lombos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 149 Margin QDL by 13 Win QDL 81% Actual 164 · QDL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Sanjoanense vs Quinta Dos Lombos
Last 24 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Sanjoanense at home, last 12 games · Quinta Dos Lombos away, last 19
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sanjoanense 0, Quinta Dos Lombos 2.
- Average total 154.0 points per meeting
- Over 147.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting QDL by 43 Feb 14, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 14, 2026 LFB Women Quinta Dos Lombos 100–57 Sanjoanense 157 pts
- Nov 29, 2025 LFB Women Sanjoanense 72–79 Quinta Dos Lombos 151 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Benfica 97, Sanjoanense 50. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.02, Sanjoanense 11.00.
- Oct 3: Evora 72, Sanjoanense 74. Won. Odds: Evora 2.30, Sanjoanense 1.53.
- Mar 22: Sanjoanense 75, Sporting CP 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Imortal 101, Sanjoanense 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 28: Sanjoanense 73, CAB Madeira 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Quinta Dos Lombos 61, Esgueira 53. Won. Odds: Quinta Dos Lombos 1.19, Esgueira 3.95.
- Oct 5: Gdessa Barreiro 65, Quinta Dos Lombos 79. Won. Odds: Gdessa Barreiro 3.90, Quinta Dos Lombos 1.20.
- May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Won. No odds on record.
- May 8: Benfica 73, Quinta Dos Lombos 69. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Sanjoanense dropped from 7.70 to 4.55 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 144.5 to 147.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.0 — Sanjoanense −12.9 per 100 possessions, Quinta Dos Lombos +14.1.
- 6th vs 3rd in the LFB Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SAN moneyline | 7.70 | moved down 4.55 |
| QDL moneyline | 1.04 | moved up 1.06 |
| Total points | 144.5 | moved up 147.5 |
| SAN spread | +17.5 | moved down +16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LFB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 391 | 347 | +44 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 329 | +80 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 372 | 308 | +64 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 359 | 309 | +50 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 376 | 378 | −2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 372 | 406 | −34 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 391 | +1 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 359 | −16 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 371 | 388 | −17 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 329 | 374 | −45 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 326 | 377 | −51 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 324 | 398 | −74 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sanjoanense host Quinta Dos Lombos in the LFB Women on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.