San Pablo Burgos vs Obradoiro CAB prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin OBR by 12 Win OBR 79% Actual 151 · OBR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
San Pablo Burgos vs Obradoiro CAB
Last 11 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 14: San Pablo Burgos 84, Hapoel Jerusalem 85. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.81, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.41.
- Oct 11: Bilbao 96, San Pablo Burgos 87. Lost. Odds: Bilbao 1.37, San Pablo Burgos 2.98.
- Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Lost. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 30: San Pablo Burgos 85, Cedevita Olimpija 81. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.44, Cedevita Olimpija 2.72.
- Oct 11: Obradoiro CAB 91, Forca Lleida 89. Won. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 1.75, Forca Lleida 2.00.
- Oct 4: Obradoiro CAB 107, Real Madrid 114. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 4.70, Real Madrid 1.17.
- Sep 26: MoraBanc Andorra 85, Obradoiro CAB 90. Won. Odds: MoraBanc Andorra 1.35, Obradoiro CAB 3.05.
- May 8: Obradoiro CAB 85, Gipuzkoa 68. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Estela 65, Obradoiro CAB 95. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for San Pablo Burgos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on San Pablo Burgos dropped from 1.46 to 1.36 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Obradoiro CAB, 2 for San Pablo Burgos.
- 4-1 in the last five for Obradoiro CAB.
- 13th vs 11th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPB moneyline | 1.46 | moved down 1.36 |
| OBR moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.97 |
| Total points | 185.5 | 185.5 |
| SPB spread | −4.5 | moved down −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Pablo Burgos host Obradoiro CAB in the ACB on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.