San Pablo Burgos vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin HAP by 9 Win HAP 74% Actual 169 · HAP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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San Pablo Burgos vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
San Pablo Burgos at home, last 5 games · Hapoel Jerusalem away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 11: Bilbao 96, San Pablo Burgos 87. Lost. Odds: Bilbao 1.37, San Pablo Burgos 2.98.
- Oct 7: Aris 93, San Pablo Burgos 80. Lost. Odds: Aris 1.28, San Pablo Burgos 3.50.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Won. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 30: San Pablo Burgos 85, Cedevita Olimpija 81. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.44, Cedevita Olimpija 2.72.
- Sep 27: San Pablo Burgos 97, Baskonia 98. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.23, Baskonia 1.62.
- Oct 11: Hapoel Holon 69, Hapoel Jerusalem 92. Won. Odds: Hapoel Holon 2.95, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.37.
- Oct 6: Cedevita Olimpija 64, Hapoel Jerusalem 75. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 2.54, Hapoel Jerusalem 1.48.
- Oct 4: Maccabi Tel Aviv 88, Hapoel Jerusalem 71. Lost. Odds: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.41, Hapoel Jerusalem 2.76.
- Sep 29: Hapoel Jerusalem 94, Rostock 73. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.09, Rostock 6.87.
- Sep 25: Hapoel Jerusalem 88, Bnei Herzliya 68. Won. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.19, Bnei Herzliya 4.43.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 171.5 to 174.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 21.7 — San Pablo Burgos −3.7 per 100 possessions, Hapoel Jerusalem +18.0.
- 4-1 in the last five for Hapoel Jerusalem.
- 6th vs 2nd in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPB moneyline | 2.65 | moved up 2.81 |
| HAP moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.41 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 174.5 |
| SPB spread | +4.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 456 | 374 | +82 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 444 | 368 | +76 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 416 | 419 | −3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 404 | 421 | −17 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 406 | 402 | +4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 399 | 427 | −28 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 458 | −66 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 363 | 411 | −48 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
San Pablo Burgos host Hapoel Jerusalem in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.